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        J.B. HunT WHiTE papEr                  The white paper did not estimate   in the second half of the year,” the
        prEdiCTS SHipping raTE             how much rates might go up, but it is   paper noted. “However, current capacity
        inCrEaSE for 2015                  likely the shipper will not absorb much   trends are holding at 98 percent, just
            In a white paper, released in   of the increase, passing any additional   below the point of serious shortages.
        October, J.B. Hunt concluded that ship-  shipping costs on to the consumer.   FTR Transportation Intelligence predicts
        ping rates are expected to continue    The paper predicted that the market   the fragile balance to “continue until
        to increase in 2015. The report cited   will stay near tipping point because of   regulatory pressures increase again in
        six key stresses on the industry: driver   the strength of demand.    later 2016.”
        shortage and reten-                                       “At best,       To read the white paper, visit J.B.
        tion, tightening                                       seasonal peaks   Hunt’s website, www.jbhunt.com.
        regulations/Hours                                      and any event
        of Service, capacity,                                  which swells   figHT ovEr HourS-of-SErviCE
        railroad invest-                                       demand or      rulES STallEd, BuT noT ovEr
        ment, rising equip-                                    degrades capac-    Efforts to amend last year’s hours-
        ment costs and                                         ity will cause a   of-service (HOS) rules have faced oppo-
        falling productivity.                                  series of short   sition, but Philip L. Byrd, Sr., immediate
            “The trans-                                        capacity crises.   past-chairman of the American
        portation industry                                     Another wave   Trucking Associations, says the ATA is
        faces many chal-                                       of regulations   “bound and determined to bring about
        lenges in 2015 and                                     will likely hit in   positive change” in federal trucking
        beyond,” the white                                     2016 (including   regulations.
        paper concluded.                                       the electronic     Byrd reminded attendees the
        “As highlighted in                                     log mandate),   annual McLeod Software user confer-
        this report, increas-                                  potentially cre-  ence in Washington that rolling back
        ing recruiting                                         ating capacity   the restrictions on truck drivers’ ability
        expenses and mile-                                     concerns, thus   to use a 34-hour restart to begin a new
        age pay, truck and                                     making coop-   work week is still a top priority.
        maintenance costs,                                     erative carrier    “We have not left any stone
        preparation for                                        relationships   unturned in trying to stop the restart
        future regulations                                     highly neces-  changes,” said Byrd, president and CEO
        on equipment, lost                                     sary.          of Bulldog Hiway Express in Charleston,
        productivity due                                          The truck-  S.C.
        to new regulations                                     load sector        Because the rules require drivers to
        and a precarious                                       cannot meet    include two consecutive 1 a.m. to 5 a.m.
        market capacity                                        current demand   periods within a “restart” between work
        situation are all                                      as changing reg-  weeks, more drivers are on the road at 5
        stressing forces. Shippers should prepare   ulations, the driver shortage and under-  a.m., at the start of rush hour, putting
        for significant cost recovery and net-  investment make capacity expansion   more drivers at risk.
        work rationalization efforts from pro-  unlikely, the Hunt paper pointed out.   Byrd reported that former FMSCA
        viders of both highway and intermodal   “Projections for the full year show   administrator Anne Ferro said in a
        services beginning in late 2014 and into   a slight softening and there may be
        2015.”                             greater capacity available for truckload                         

        aRkansas tRuCking RepoRt | issue 5 2014                                                                   11
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