Page 50 - Forbes - USA (December 2019)
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The Vault
               TIVO’S TROUBLES

               “Our plan is to run as fast                           ments into account,” Wood now says.
               as we can,” vowed Michael
               Ramsay, cofounder and CEO of TiVo. Almost a year         Undaunted, Wood founded Roku in 2002. He


               after debuting its little box at the Consumer Electronics   cold-called  Netflix’s  Reed  Hastings  and  asked

               Show in Vegas, TiVo had gone public, reached a $1.4 bil-
               lion market valuation—and lost nearly $32 million while   him to lunch. Hastings took the meeting. “I guess
               accumulating a few thousand dollars in revenue from   he’d heard of me because of Replay,” Wood says.

      48       early subscribers. The challenges ahead for Ramsay    Hastings  invited  Wood  to  join  Netflix  as  vice
               and TiVo were clear: “The technology of searching and
               recording, which is not protected by patents . . . can   president of Internet TV in 2007 and guide Net-       HOW TO PLAY IT
               easily be copied.”       —Forbes, November 29, 1999   flix’s streaming player, code-named Project Grif-

       S                                                                                                                        According to

       R                                                             fin, through production. After 10 months, Wood
       O                                                                                                                        Billy Montana



       T      Roku Cont.                                             left,  at  which  time  Netflix  spun  Project  Griffin
       P      a TV ad is through Nielsen ratings, which could        into Roku and became an early investor (it sold            With 5G on the
       U                                                                                                                      horizon, rich video
       R      tell you roughly how many people have watched          out a few years later).
       S                                                                                                                      game content is a
       I      it,” Wood says. “Our measurement is very precise,         Roku sold its first set-top boxes in 2008. This        great way to play

       D

              where  we  can  tell  a  company  that  out  of  every-  time  Wood  kept  prices  low—the  first  went  for       the streaming
       H                                                                                                                       boom, according
       C      one who saw your ad, 5% went to your website and       $99.99.  Today  its  cheapest  device  sells  for  less   to Billy Montana,
       E
       T      bought  something,”  he  explains.  “We’re  bringing   than a third of that. As of 2018, Roku had nabbed        portfolio manager

       •                                                                                                                       at $21 billion (as-
              the sort of technology that’s already been around      a 41% market share of streaming media devices—             sets) Jackson
       N
       A      for a while on the internet to the TV world.” Roku     more than Amazon Fire TV, Google Chromecast               Square Partners.
       I                                                                                                                        A top holding:
       R      does this with in-house measurement tools, but also    and Apple TV. The business is still growing but           New York City’s
       A      with 11 partners including New York-based Nielsen      competition is heating up while prices drop.
       R                                                                                                                      Take-Two Interac-
       T      in order to tell advertisers like clients Jaguar Land     To stay relevant, beginning in 2014 Roku part-          tive. “The best
       N                                                                                                                      investment today
       O      Rover and Baskin-Robbins how their ad campaigns        nered with several TV makers, including China’s           is in the content
       C      performed against which demographics.                  TCL and Hisense and Japan’s Hitachi and Sanyo             owners,” he says.
                 The shift is paying off. In 2015, 84% of Roku’s     Electric, to build its operating systems into TV sets.   “Take-Two has the

                                                                                                                               best intellectual
              $320  million  in  revenue  came  from  hardware;      According to Roku, its software is in one in three        property in inter-

              16%, or $50 million, came from advertising and         smart TVs sold in the U.S. during the first nine           active entertain-
              content. Now advertising is the fastest-growing        months of 2019. But other TV makers are jumping           ment, a subcat-
                                                                                                                               egory of media
              segment, and those numbers have nearly flipped.         in: Samsung, the world’s leading TV manufactur-          that should enjoy

              Roku  doubled  down  in  October,  announcing  a       er, announced in May that all of its new smart TVs       secular growth for
                                                                                                                              the next decade.”
              $150  million  acquisition  of  dataxu,  a  Boston-    would come with the Apple TV app built in.
                                                                                                                              As platforms fight

              based tech outfit that allows clients to plan and          Roku also faces rivals in the ad world. Media          for its franchises,

              buy video ad campaigns.                                conglomerate Viacom bought the free, ad-support-           which include

                                                                                                                                 Grand Theft
                 Investors are loving it. Roku’s stock has rocketed   ed streaming service Pluto TV for $340 million in         Auto, NBA 2K
              up over 340% since the beginning of 2019, pushing      March. NBC is launching Peacock, its own stream-          and Civilization,
              its founder’s net worth to $3.3 billion, a $2.6 billion   ing service with advertising, next April.             Montana expects
                                                                                                                               tolls charged by
              jump since January. It recently traded at a rich 17       Wood says he welcomes all entrants. “The excit-       Xbox and PlaySta-
              times sales. “I have no idea why Roku is valued [so    ing thing for me about the streaming wars is that         tion will fall from
                                                                                                                              their current 30%
              high],” says Wedbush Securities’ Michael Pachter.      humongous companies like Disney are all going
                                                                                                                              of Take-Two gross
                 Wood’s plan to cater to advertisers comes from      in on streaming,” Wood says. “That’s only good            revenues to 15%,
              an early failure. In the early 1990s, figuring there    for us.” But he might want to press pause on that          and points out

                                                                                                                               its pipeline is at a
              had to be a better way to record new episodes of       button. These big media players may be allies to-           record high.
              his favorite TV show, Star Trek: The Next Gener-       day  but  foes  tomorrow.  “Everyone  has  realized
              ation, than using VHS tapes, he came up with a         the living room is too important,” wrote Pivotal
              DVR. The initial product, marketed as ReplayTV,        Research CEO Jeffrey Wlodarczak in a September

              was released in 1999 and cost around $1,000. Big       report titled “Is Roku Broku?” “And the big boys
              mistake. Rival TiVo sold its boxes for reportedly      . . . are likely to make Roku growth much more                                  HOW TO PLAY IT BY ANTOINE GARA; SHERRY TESLER/THE NEW YORK T  IMES/REDUX
              under $500 and gobbled up market share.                difficult.” Wood had better start thinking of his


                 Low  on  cash,  Wood  sold  ReplayTV  in  2001  to   next pivot soon.

              Santa Clara-based consumer electronics firm Son-
              icBlue for a reported $42 million and stayed to help
                                                                                       F IN AL T HOU GH T
              run it. To differentiate it from TiVo, Wood released

                                                                             “IN GENERAL, OBSOLETE
              a version of ReplayTV with an ad-skipping feature.
                                                                           TECHNOLOGY IS OBSOLETE
              Bigger mistake. The company was sued by every-
                                                                            FOR A REASON. MONOCLES
              one from Paramount to MGM to Disney. Sonic Blue
                                                                                ARE NO EXCEPTION.”
              went bankrupt. “We didn’t take industry require-                         —Neil Blumenthal
              F O R B E S . C O M                                                                                          D E C E M B E R   3 1 ,   2 0 1 9
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