Page 235 - (DK) The Business Book
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SUCCESSFUL SELLING         233

        See also:  Managing risk 40–41   ■  How fast to grow 44–45   ■  Organizational culture 104–09   ■  Avoid groupthink 114   ■
        Good and bad strategy 184–85   ■  Forecasting 278–79   ■  Marketing mix 280–83   ■  Benefitting from “big data”  316–17


                                         data and the longer the historical   team around the world confers once
                                         period it covers, the more accurate   a week to examine data and make
                                         the results will be. Models reassure   decisions in response to buying
                                         members of the business that every  behavior. As McDonald says, “it’s
                                         scenario has been investigated.   the data sources that help create
            Marketing is inherently      Marketers can choose from        the brand and keep it dynamic.” ■
           about producing results.      different models or design their
                Geoff Smith              own, but the key to making the
          VantagePoint Marketing (1962–)  model work is data.
                                         Gathering and using data
                                         Consumer goods maker Procter &
                                         Gamble (P&G) has invested heavily
                                         in data gathering and modeling,
                                         implementing digital processes
        marketers and others in an       from the factory to the shelf in
        organization can measure projected  order to capture data and feed it
        product growth, or return on     back. The data can be used to
        investment, and make informed    make immediate adjustments to
        decisions on how to optimize the   product planning and distribution,
        combination of factors most likely   as well as added to a massive
        to generate market success.      database for future use. According
           Gathering the required data for   to CEO Robert McDonald in 2011,
        modeling is crucial. Information    “Data modeling, simulation, and
        is needed from all areas of the   other digital tools are reshaping
        business so that every step in the   how we innovate.”
                                                                          Market research is valuable, but it
        process of getting the product from   P&G focuses on internal data-
                                                                          can be very time consuming to gather
        the drawing board to the customer   gathering processes and also relies
                                                                          data that is representative of the age,
        is factored in. When David Packard,   heavily on market information from   gender, and background of consumers.
        the co-founder of Hewlett-Packard,   external partners. The leadership   Computer models do the work faster.
        said that “marketing is far too
        important to leave to the marketing   The origin of marketing models
        department,” he was implying that
        the plans made by marketers can    Models of consumer behavior    is raised by one percent how
        come to nothing if the rest of the   date from the 1960s. They grew   might this affect demand? Then
        organization is not fully engaged. In   out of a need to make marketing   in 1969 Stanford University’s
        addition to getting approval on plans   more scientific and less driven   Frank Bass devised his Bass
        and budgets, marketers should      by instinct or unproven ideas.   model, which is still used to
        communicate with all departments     In the 1960s US scholar      predict how fast new products
        to gather data and share it once   Robert Ferber advocated the    will be adopted and spread
        decisions have been made.          use of mathematical simulation   through a market.
                                           techniques and models. These      Decision Support Systems
           Using the data, the marketer
                                           became known as measurement    (DSS) use measurement models
        can simulate product tests and
                                           models because they were       to project the outcome of new
        input variations using different
                                           devised to measure demand      decisions, adding variables—
        assumptions about elements of
                                           for a product as a function of   such as previous outcomes in
        the marketing mix, such as market
                                           various independent variables—  similar contexts—to help
        conditions and consumer behavior.   for example, if the selling price    marketers make optimal choices.
        The greater the amount of relevant
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