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ADu ReVIeW





                     Misreporting a set-up for



                   nationalistic grab: Holland





          ick  Holland  used  the  Af-                                                    in  the  coming  five  years,”
      Nrica Down Under stage to                                                           Holland said. “Grades are
       launch a scathing attack on gold                                                   declining and orebodies are
       industry reporting standards but                                                   becoming  more  complicat-
       the real target for his message                                                    ed, which will increase costs
       was sat in the audience.                                                           of mining. And, all this on the
        Gold Fields Ltd chief execu-                                                      back of assets that probably
       tive Holland told delegates that                                                   haven’t had enough spent on
       inconsistent reporting of all-in                                                   them already.”
       sustaining cash costs was giv-                                                       Exploration, Holland said,
       ing stakeholders a false impres-                                                   was vital to reversing the
       sion of how well the industry                                                      trend.  With  global  reserves
       was performing, internal analy-                                                    falling at an alarming rate in
       sis from Gold Fields suggested.                                                    the last decade – average
        “By  our  analysis  more  and                                                     reserve life of the industry
       more costs are pushed into                                                         has dropped from more than
       growth  and  non-sustaining                                                        25 years  to less than  15
       costs,  we  believe  $US1  billion                                                 years – the gold sector has
       in the top 25 gold companies                                                       a job on its hands just finding
       is misreported,” Holland said.                                                     replacement gold.
       “When  we  compare  reported    Nick Holland with WA Minister for Mines Bill Johnston and Paydirt   “It is no mean feat to keep
       all-in sustaining costs with free   chairman Bill Repard at the Africa Down Under Ministerial Dinner  at the 100 mozpa production
       cash  flow,  it  shows  there  is  a                                               rate,” Holland said. “To do
       $US200/oz difference between                                                       that, you need to target 200-
       what is reported and what is real.”  troduced the all-in sustaining cost (AISC)   300 mozpa in exploration because a lot of
        Holland  said  the misleading  reporting   reporting standard in 2013. Under the new   what you find won’t be mined.”
       was “shrouding problems with an industry   standard, companies completed a turna-  However, the cost-cutting mantra of the
       that has been undercapitalised down the   round, slashing costs between 2013 and   last five years has meant little exploration
       years” and he doesn’t believe it is even to   2017 but Holland believes it has come at   has been undertaken. Gold Fields cur-
       the benefit of the companies themselves.  a price.                       rently  spends  $US50  million  on  explora-
        “The smart money will figure it out, but   “Any capital expenditure that could ma-  tion, a rarity among its peers according to
       the industry is probably giving the wrong   terially increase production could be clas-  Holland.
       impression to other stakeholders,” he said.   sified as non-sustaining capital. As a con-  “Gold Fields has invested when oth-
       “It is suggesting we are making more mon-  sequence, we saw costs begin to decline   ers haven’t,” he said. “We have built one
       ey than we actually are and therefore we   over the next 4-5 years. Only in the course   mine here in Western Australia [Gruyere]
       begin to fuel resource nationalism.”  of ‘17 and ‘18 did we see costs begin to rise   and have another in development in Chile
        Holland’s  point  was  clearly  directed   again. Was the cost-cutting real? Or, was   [Salares Norte]. We believe our capital re-
       to the dozen African delegations watch-  there a whole bunch of costs that were   quirements are now about to come down
       ing  his  presentation  as  well  as  others   deferred on development, stripping, etc.   when others will have to catch up.
       of gold-producing nations not in attend-  that are going to come back to haunt the   “We spend 25-35% of our exploration
       ance. Gold’s recent record run has led a   industry?”                    budget in WA. We have been able to main-
       number of jurisdictions (both in Africa and   Analysis bears out Holland’s point with a   tain  production  and  increase  reserves,
       elsewhere) to revisit their royalty and tax   sample group of 25 companies showing a   from three years at the start to six years
       regimes but  Holland believes misreport-  combined $US920 million was incorrectly   at a discovery cost of less than $US100/
       ing costs could lead governments to target   excluded from AISC numbers.   oz at a time when companies are buying
       what are actually artificially inflated profit   “It appears the industry is quite keen to   ounces at three or four times that amount.”
       margins in the sector.              show good AISC so keeps deferring capi-  Holland pointed to the discovery of the
        Instead, he said, current cost reporting   tal into [total] all-in costs, but only six of   2 moz gold Invincible orebody at St Ives
       was hiding the gold industry’s wider prob-  those 25 companies report all-in costs,”   as evidence of the value exploration can
       lems with growth, calling the misreporting   he said. “It means a lot more money is be-  generate.
       “a symptom of a growing risk to the sus-  ing pushed into growth and non-sustaining   “This is real value creation and is what
       tainability of the industry”.       costs but is not being reported.”    the industry should be doing,” he said. “Al-
        After gold’s price plunge and investor   The result is an industry set up for short-  though it might be slower in its evolution,
       sell-off in 2012, the industry’s majors were   term success but lacking longer term sus-  exploration will create more value and it
       left with a restructuring job to win back   tainability.                 will be sustainable.”
       market support. To provide more clarity   “Metals Focus is projecting a big in-          – Dominic Piper
       for investors, the World Gold Council in-  crease in volumes mined at lower grades


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