Page 52 - pd289-Dec20-mag-web_Neat
P. 52

AFRIcA DoWn UnDeR





                         COVID-19



                security warning





         rivate sector organisations such as min-  Islamic State is seeking a comeback in parts
      Pers, explorers and METS companies in Af-  of Africa. We’ve seen some events play out in
       rica have been warned that violent extremists   recent months…in places such as Somalia,
       have ramped up threats for potential terror at-  the DRC and Mozambique.”
       tacks in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.  In August, militants with links to Islamic   ASPI’s Lisa Sharland spoke to Africa Down
        Speaking via video link from Canberra,   State captured the port of Mocimboa da Praia   Under delegates via video link from Canberra
       Australian  Strategic  Policy  Institute  (ASPI)   in  Mozambique’s  Cabo  Delgado  province.
       head of international program Lisa Sharland   The port is considered the gateway to the   enduring threat of terrorism, were highlighted
       said security challenges had increased in   country’s multi-billion dollar LNG industry.  in a defence whitepaper published about four
       parts of the African continent since March,   Sharland noted concerning levels of food   years ago and had been somewhat acceler-
       particularly in regions where terrorist groups   security and increased poverty in Mali due   ated by COVID-19.
       already have an established presence.  to both COVID-19 and the growing threat of   “Military modernisation is accelerating
        “We have seen that terrorist activity has   violent extremism.          faster than envisaged, particularly in the Indo-
       continued to shift from the Middle East to Af-  “We’ve  also  seen  misinformation  cam-  Pacific, and this includes the development of
       rica, particularly in the Sahel,” Sharland told   paigns and conspiracy theories which have   cyber capabilities,” Sharland said. “The rules-
       Africa Down Under.                  increased intercommunal tensions,” she said.  based global order is also being undermined
        “According to the UN, terrorist groups in   “A number of these security developments   and disrupted and the conduct of ‘grey zone’
       Mali and the Sahel have actually taken ad-  do have an impact on the way that mining   activities has expanded.
       vantage of COVID-19, and I quote: ‘to inten-  companies are able to operate on the conti-  “Not  surprisingly, it  noted that COVID-19
       sify their attacks and to challenge state au-  nent.”                    has altered many of these trajectories, with
       thority throughout the sub-region with higher   Sharland added that some of the likely   some countries using the situation to seek
       rates of civilian casualties’.      future  drivers  of  conflict,  including  the  rela-  greater influence.”
        “Then there are, of course, concerns that   tionship between the US and China and the
                                                                                          – Michael Washbourne
           Toliara still top of Base thoughts




          espite a slowdown in negotiations over fis-  proved  returns,”  he  said.  “Negotiations  are   nificant cash generation.”
      Dcal terms for the project, Base Resources   progressing well and heading in the right di-  Kwale’s future will depend on Base’s ex-
       Ltd has no intention of walking away from its   rection.”                ploration  success.  The  company  plans  to
       Toliara mineral sands development in Mada-  Base will require 26 months from an invest-  release a PFS for the North Dune resource
       gascar.                             ment decision to build Toliara, meaning the   in the first quarter of 2021 and is also contem-
        Base had intended to be reaching a final   company’s foundational asset, Kwale, will   plating exploration programmes at a regional
       investment decision on Toliara by the end of   continue to carry the cash generation respon-  level.
       this year but having already seen the Mala-  sibilities in the company.   “There are some areas of pretty significant
       gasy Government suspend on-ground activ-  Kwale, now in its eighth year of operation,   interest to us and we are pushing on getting
       ity while the investment terms were finalised,   continues to meet those responsibilities, al-  access to them. We think we have got some
       progress was further impacted by the onset of   beit at lower rates this year.  options for extending the mine life.”
       the coronavirus pandemic.             “We made a big transition 18 months ago   The company also holds the Kuranze min-
        Base managing director Tim Carstens now   at Kwale moving from the Central Dune down   eral sands project, 70km west of Kwale.
       expects the final investment decision to come   to the South Dune,” Carstens said. “We are   “We are pretty excited about unwrapping
       no earlier than September 2021 but told Af-  now in a new paradigm of low-grade, high-  that  opportunity  over  the  next  few  years,”
       rica Down Under Toliara was still a priority for   value where our constraint is the mine and   Carstens said.
       the company.                        the concentrator.                     Kwale’s steady return and the delays at
        “We remain completely committed to deliv-  “We’ve seen our production volumes fall   Toliara led Base towards a maiden dividend,
       ery of Toliara,” Carstens said.     away and we are in our lowest-grade year   paid earlier this year.
        The suspension of on-ground activity had   for the South Dune, so we just need to get   “With the open-ended delay to Toliara, we’d
       been a blow to Base but Carstens said the   through this.”               broken the nexus between cash accumula-
       company understood the Government’s con-  Despite the lower-grade scenario, the mine   tion and the need to deploy it at Toliara, so we
       cerns around mining projects generating an   – just south of Mombasa in southern Kenya –   made the decision it was time to jump to the
       adequate return for the country.    is still producing cash for Base.    dual track of cash returns and pursuing our
        “Madagascar has been disappointed with   “Kwale is still a significant cash generator,”   development strategy,” Carstens said.
       the outcomes at QMM and Ambatovy [the   Carstens said. “Last year it produced just shy   “That is the approach we are looking to
       two existing operations in the country] and   of $US100 million. We won’t be at quite the   take forward; managing those two tracks.”
       quite reasonably the Government wants im-  same level this year but there will still be sig-
                                                                                              – Dominic Piper

       Page 52   DeCeMBeR 2020 - JaNUaRY 2021    aUSTRaLIa’S PaYDIRT
   47   48   49   50   51   52   53   54   55   56   57