Page 53 - FDI Alliance International Magazine Summer 2020 Digital Interactive Issue
P. 53

The pandemic exposed weaknesses in the U.S.   The bottom line is this, entrepreneurs are seeing   a time of growth, diversification, and innovation
        supply chain and has prompted some business   a crop of new opportunities available in the U.S.   for U.S. industry.
        to  streamline and reshore operations. New   market. They grew up being inspired by Gates,
        domestic sourcing will fuel the growth of a   Jobs and now Bezos and Musk -there is a new   What does this mean for economic developers
        larger American Middle Market and create an   urgency to be part of industry and commerce, and   and investment promotion professionals, most
        economy that looks more like the U.S. economy   not just stand on the sidelines. Entrepreneurialism   likely a change in priorities.
        of  the 1980’s, when there was more U.S.   is mainstream in American culture. Bolstered
        manufacturing and many more Middle Market   by our strong North American market of 330   With more home-grown companies starting to
        companies.                           million people in America, 37 million people   emerge, I expect there will be a greater emphasis
                                             in Canada and 127 million people in Mexico,   put on business retention and expansion efforts
        Globalization is going to take a hit from global   and automated manufacturing which makes   and export promotion. Equally, I think American
        political tensions and COVID, as countries   employment costs less burdensome. Coupled   economic development agencies will focus
        around the world mirror the American surge in   with a heightened demand for goods, Made in   more on attracting foreign direct investment.
        self-reliance, although the retraction will be more   America makes more sense to entrepreneurs   Remember, between Canada, the U.S. and
        severe in the United States.  The U.S. has long   now, than it has in decades.  It is cool to be an   Mexico, we have almost a half a billion people
        held the distinction of being the largest producer   industrialist again, and the timing is right.  and immense buying power. North America
        of foreign direct investment in the world, and                            is in a good position to attract foreign direct
        most economists agree that globalization and   U.S. Middle Market companies are the economic   investment as foreign companies want to access
        foreign direct investment flows will be negatively   engine of the U.S. economy. Much like their   North American populations.
        impacted by the pandemic. Most likely there will   counterparts around the world, they are typically   The net of all of this is that post-pandemic, some
        be a dip in U.S. outbound FDI that will last for a  sole proprietorships, family owned enterprises.   American companies will reshore operations.
        period of 3 to 5 years.              The prediction here is that the U.S. economy   There will be a new crop of American Middle
                                             will shift slightly and start to mirror its German   Market industrial companies emerging, American
        In the meantime, U.S. Middle Market companies,   counterpart, with a rise in the Mittlestand.  supply chains will be increasingly sourced in
        inspired by demand and stories of industrialists                          North America and we will see a resurgence
        like Elon Musk, will take their shot at the American   The Middle Market is going to drive the U.S.   of “Made in America” products. Outbound
        Dream. When we think that Tesla officially   economy and drive pandemic recovery. It is also   American foreign direct investment will be down,
        launched in 2003 and now manufactures over   going to drive the emergence of a new crop of   but inbound FDI will increase.
        365,000 cars per year, the company’s trajectory   global brands, and not just in the technology
        from obscurity to becoming one of the world’s   sector, but in heavy industry.  The Middle Market is   The landscape is going to change and expect a
        most powerful brands has been accomplished   the largest component of the U.S. economy and   wave of innovation, and a new crop of companies.
        at warp speed. In just 17 years, Tesla has   it will continue to be the most important building   It is going to be a time of change in the investment
        transformed the automotive industry.  block of the American economic engine. It will be   promotion industry.




            →  SHIRAR O’CONNOR Senior Vice President, UNDERPINNED

                              Shirar O’Connor is an economic development professional with over 28
                              years of experience working with national, regional, and local governments   NEW YORK OFFICE
                              from around the world. She is the Vice President of Marketing for AdvanceCT   +1 646 496 7668
                              and a founding partner of Underpinned, a New York-based marketing
                              firm specializing in foreign direct investment and business retention and   shirar@underpinnedinc.com
                              expansion services.                                          Shirar O’Connor-Mugler
                              For more information about Underpinned, visit www.underpinnedinc.com .

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