Page 45 - How to Make Money in Stocks Trilogy
P. 45

© 2009 Investor’s Business Daily, Inc.
                                                          Volume
                                                             14,200
                                                                 4,200
                                                               7,800
                                                                  2,200
                                               32
                                                        17
                                                   24
                                                     20
                                                 28
                                                                     Dec 1929
                                                        Note: 5 red weeks
                                                        ks
                                                        d week
                                                        Note: 5 red week
                                                        k
                                                          from prior week
                                                         with volume up
                                                         with volume up
                                                        e
                                                         u
                                                fewer can bring themselves, af fter selling a stock at a loss,
                                                s
                                                          e
                                               and can’t bring themselves to cut every loss at 8%. Even
                                                                     Sep 1929
                                                         m
                                                lo
                                                        d
                                               v
                                                 n
                                                 This is the difference between
                                                 to buy it back higher. This is the difference between
                                                         o
                                                t
                                                        5
                                                        5
                                               %
                                                k
                                                k
                                                        Nte
                                               8
                                                          m
                                                 w
                                                         h
                                                 e
                                                                     Jun 1929
                                                         w
                                                        N
                                                t
                                                          f
                                                 c
                                                   successful and unsuccessful investors.
                                                   s
                                               r
                                                lli i
                                                 r
                                                                     Mar 1929
                                                   s
                                                t
                                               c
                                                   n
                                                ,
                                               t
                                                   u
                                                 s
                                                                     Dec 1928
                                                lv
                                                   s
                                               v
                                                                         International Business Machines increased 400% in 161 weeks.
                                                   c
                                               s
                                                m
                                                 to buy it back higher
                                                 e
                                               e
                                                 h
                                                h
                                                h
                                                   n
                                                                     Sep 1928
                                                g
                                                 h
                                               g
                                                   d
                                                i
                                                b
                                                b
                                                 a
                                               ’
                                                a
                                                   s
                                                 t
           IBM was expanding and developing new, successful products  Price  s  u  r  s  p  a in the 1920s. In 1925, it released horizontal sorting machines in the 1920s. In 1925, it released horizontal sorting machines  i  a  t  d  5  500 with a speed of 360 cards per minute and the first standard  r  n  s  m  c D
                                                                     Jun 1928
                                                 u
                                                e
                                                   c
                                                fe
                                                 o
                                               a
                                                                     Mar 1928
                                                                     Dec 1927
                                                    s
                                                    s
                                                    should drift down along lows
                                                  stock wedged up along lows
                                                   over prior 12 weeks. Handle
                                                   over prior 12 weeks. Handle
                                                                     Sep 1927
                                                due to premature buying,
                                               Sell: down 8% from cost
                                               Sell: down 8% from cost
                                                  l
                 new industries and jobs.
                 new industries and jobs
                                               m
                                                    a
                                                b
                                                  l
                                                  a
                                                   k
                                                                     Jun 1927
                           was released
                           was released
            s
             d
                p
                         l li
                           a
                 r
           x
                         tical l
                          h
                         Verti
                         V
               p
           M
             t
               u
                o
                 e
                                     Add Add  Add  7-week base  e  7  w  r  dd  e  tk  o  It  o  Mar 1927 Dec 1926
                           ,  a  h  h  h  a  g  b  Buy  y  B  36-week cup-with-long-handle  handle  l  long  o  with that finally corrects for wedging  up along lows by shaking out. It up along lows by shaking out t  h  Volume picks up on shakeout  p  e  Sep 1926 Jun 1926
           Intl. Business Machines–1926  Market correction  t  Very important: after shakeout  :  i if stock comes back up through if stock comes back up through  c 10-week line on even greater  n  e volume you must buy it back!  u  m  week cup  c  36  y  l  then goes up 400%  p  s  g  3/1  6/5  Mar 1926 Dec 1925 S
                      n
          Price =  20*eps  Weekly Chart  20  18  16  15  14  13  12  11  10   9.00    8.00    7.50   7.00    6.50   6.00   5.50    5.00    4.50   4.00    3.50   3.00    2.50    2.25    2.00    1.80    1.60    1.50    1.40    1.30    1.20    1.10    1.00    0.90    0.80
   40   41   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50