Page 79 - History of War - Issue 30-16
P. 79

NAGORNO-KARABAKH


                                                                                         Turkey and Iran, in particular, are immediately
                                                                                       affected by any convulsions within Azerbaijan.
                                                                                       For Turkey it’s a matter of looking out for a little
                                                                                       sibling and trade partner – the Azeris are their
                                                                                       co-religionists and speak a Turkic dialect. For
                                                                                       Iran, on the other hand, the problem is quite
                                                                                       dire. Like Armenia, Azerbaijan’s present borders
                                                                                       trace the Soviet republic carved out in 1923.
                                                                                       The majority of ethnic Azeris reside in Northern
                                                                                       Iran. Should a civil war tear Azerbaijan apart, it
                                                                                       could spill southward and embroil Tehran.
                                                                                         History does show both Armenia and
                                                                                       Azerbaijan share unique commonalities. As
                                                                                       a matter of fact, both countries can trace
                                                                                       their arrival at modern statehood at the same
                                                                                       time. With the Russian empire in disarray, and
                                                                                       torn apart by civil war after the October 1917
                                                                                       revolution, the Armenians enjoyed a nationalist
                                                                                       renaissance and short-lived independence. So
                                                                                       did Azerbaijan who possessed a thriving oil
                                                                                       industry judged one of the world’s largest.
                                                                                         In less than two years, each of these
                                                                                       incarnations were undone. The dismemberment
                                                                                       of the Ottoman Empire by the Treaty of
                                                                                       Sèvres set the Turks on the warpath. In 1920,
                                                                                       independent Armenia was attacked on two
                                                                                       fronts. The Bolsheviks would overrun Yerevan
                                                                                       by year’s end and further bloodshed followed as
                                                                                       a Soviet Armenian regime imposed its control.
                                                                                         In 1923, the whole of Transcaucasia was
                                                                                       absorbed by the Soviet Union with the ethnic
                                                                                       Georgian, Joseph Stalin, making it explicitly
                                                                                       clear that the region known as Karabakh, ruled
                                                                                       by ethnic Armenian clans, called meliks, was
                                                                                       included. Since the 16th century, this was part
                                                                                       of Azerbaijan whose valuable oil wells would
                                                                                       fuel Moscow’s plans for re-industrialisation.
                                                                                         Today, Azerbaijan is shaped by its oil and
                                                                                       the legacy of strongmen. Prospecting along
                                                                                       the Caspian began around the same time
                                                                                       swashbuckling entrepreneurs were digging
                                                                                       wells up and down the eastern United States. It
                                                                                       was the foresight of the Nobel brothers, whose
                                                                                       business interests had long been patronised by
                                                                                       the court of St Petersburg, that brought Azeri oil
                                                                                       irst to Russia and then to Europe.
                                                                                         Reliance on Azerbaijan’s crude only
                                                                                       increased during the peak of Stalin’s reign
                                                                                       and well into the Cold War. It effectively turned
                                                                                       Baku into the Caspian’s greatest city and
                                                                                       cemented the power of one Heydar Aliyev. A
                                                                                       former apparatchik (a full time member of the
                                                                                       Communist Party) who led the Azerbaijan KGB
                                                                                       in the 1960s, Aliyev, became a lackey of Leonid
                                                                                       Brezhnev whose hawkish world view, emphasis
                                                                                       on arms racing, and dictatorial mien rubbed off
                                                                                       on his Azeri counterpart.
                                                                                         Aliyev’s star dimmed during the Gorbachev
                                                                                       era, but a coup d’etat he masterminded in
                                                                                       1993, during the height of the Nagorno-
                                                            A defence position in Hadrut, a combat   Karabakh war, established his rule over
                                                             operational zone in Nagorno-Karabakh  Azerbaijan. Always a pragmatist, Aliyev
                                                                                       brokered the ‘deal of the century’ to allow a


                  1928               1943                             1944                1988                 1991
              The First Five-year Plan   The Nazis covet        On 22 June 1944, 1.7 million   A grass-roots protest   A failed coup in Moscow hastens
            helps industrialise the Soviet   Transcaucasia as the   Soviet troops assault Germany’s   movement in the Karabakh   the dissolution of the ailing Soviet
             Union under Stalin. Armenia   gateway to Persia and   Army Group Center in Belarus.   enclave agitates for union with   Union. Separate referendums in
               is swept along by the   India. 500,000 Armenians   The offensive is named ‘Operation   Armenia. This sparks a wave   Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh
             grand project and its farm   would serve in the Red   Bagration’ after a Georgian   of riots across Azerbaijan   unanimously vote for secession
             labourers begin working in   Army. Soviet Azerbaijan is   aristocrat descended from an   and mobs are soon targeting   and independence but Azerbaijan
               factories en masse.  the main supplier of its fuel.   ancient Armenian dynasty.  ethnic Armenians in Baku.  is now girding for war.


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