Page 16 - Forbes - USA (February 2018)
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FORBES
        FACT & COMMENT                 STEVE FORBES

        ounces instead of 16. It also disrupts   dant production. By the time the legisla-  massive taxes on thousands of items. A
        increasingly more intricate supply chains   tion made its way through the congres-  global trade war ensued, and the Great
        here and around the world. You may end   sional sausage factory, we had imposed   Depression was under way.
        up paying $15 for a part that should cost
        $10. Companies have to devote valuable             The Road Not Taken
        brainpower and resources to figuring out                 Max Boot (Liveright, $35)
        how to hedge countless currencies, a cost
                                          THIS BRILLIANT, extremely well-         and then won election as president
        that hinders growth.              written book about a forgotten          (Lansdale was his behind-the-scenes
        t Protectionism. Trade deficits? In and
                                          figure who was one of the most           manager), adopted Lansdale’s strategy
        of themselves, they tell you nothing. The   extraordinary and utterly un-  of finding ways to win what came to be
        U.S. has had merchandise trade deficits   orthodox espionage agents in    termed the “hearts and minds of the
        for most of its existence. A key to our   history contains a telling scene that   people,” combined with fundamental
        growth has been—and still is—invest-  encapsulates what went tragically   changes in military operations. Civilian
        ment capital coming to our shores.   wrong with the Vietnam War. The      casualties were sharply reduced. Lans-
        We’re starting to get inflows of hun-  operative, Edward Lansdale, was    dale also showed he was a master of
        dreds of billions of dollars, thanks to the   visiting President John F. Kennedy’s   propaganda and psychological warfare.
        Trump tax bill.                   defense chief, Robert McNamara.         What had looked like an inevitable com-
           It’s one thing to update trade agree-  The former president of Ford Motor, McNamara   munist victory withered into a total rout.
        ments such as Nafta, quite another to   profoundly believed that everything could be   Then, in the aftermath of the French defeat
        blow them up or try to dictate specific   managed by numbers (or what we today call   by Ho Chi Minh’s communist forces, Lansdale
        outcomes, such as forcing companies to   “metrics”). McNamara had an IQ that could boil   played the indispensable, key role in the mi-
        move their facilities back to the U.S.  water, a personality that could freeze the tropics   raculous creation of the state of South Vietnam.
           Ditto trade abuses, such as China’s   and a deep disdain for anyone he considered his   In this he worked with a man named Ngo Dinh
        unfairly restricting access to its markets   intellectual inferior, which was almost everybody.   Diem, a monkish figure given to rambling, hours-
        for foreign companies or forcing busi-  Lansdale was given ten minutes—no more!—to   long monologues. Lansdale won his confidence,
                                          advise McNamara on how the U.S. should deal   as had no one else except Diem’s paranoid
        nesses to part with their proprietary
        technology, not to mention its outright   with the growing communist insurgency in South   brother. Against all odds—and with Lansdale’s
                                          Vietnam. The allotted time was a harbinger of   considerable help—Diem routed the warlords
        theft of trade secrets via hacking.  how the meeting would go.      and powerful sect leaders, and a real country
           But the thrust of trade negotiations
                                            Lansdale was a man well worth listening   was created from the post-French rubble.
        should be reducing barriers, not erecting   to. In the 1930s he’d been an advertising man   In 1959, against Ho Chi Minh’s wishes, hard-lin-
        them via import taxes or anti-import
                                          in California, where he had demonstrated a   ers in North Vietnam decided to make an all-out
        regulations.                      real knack for writing and a firm grasp of the   assault on the South, which was what eventually
           The rest of the world is moving ahead.   psychology involved in the art of persuasion.   led to Lansdale’s meeting with McNamara. On the
        Japan has concluded a great trade deal   In WWII Lansdale ended up in the Office of   defense chief’s 9-foot-long, immaculate mahoga-
        with the EU. The 11 nations that were   Strategic Services (OSS), precursor of the CIA,   ny desk (it was polished every evening), Lansdale
        part of the Pacific trade deal that the U.S.   which was run by the legendary William “Wild   dumped a bunch of “dirty weapons, caked with
        scuttled last year are constructing a new   Bill” Donovan. This fish had found his water. After   mud and blood,” including “handmade pistols
        one, leaving out the U.S. Thirty-five new   the war he moved into the newest branch of the   and knives, old French rifles, and bamboo punji
        bilateral and regional trade pacts are being   military, the Air Force, which served as cover for   sticks.” Lansdale told the startled secretary,
        negotiated, which will mean more trade   his overseas activities. (Even late in life, he was   “The enemy uses these weapons. Many of them
        between the countries involved. Increas-  loath to acknowledge he had been in the CIA.)   are barefoot or wear sandals. They wear black
        ingly, the U.S. is on the outside looking in.  Lansdale soon found himself posted in the Philip-  pajamas, usually, with tatters or holes in them . . .
           Fortunately, the recent tax bill   pines, which was facing an increasingly powerful   yet, the enemy is licking our [well-armed] side.”
        should stimulate more investment from   communist uprising called the Huk Rebellion.  Lansdale warned that if we didn’t grasp the
        businesses here and overseas. But we   The Filipino government and military were   nature of this new style of war, where ideas and
        shouldn’t end up “leaving money on   responding in ways that were fueling the insur-  ideals were critical, tragedy would result.
        the table” by unnecessarily losing better   gency, especially by killing numerous civilians   But while Lansdale had a unique ability
                                          in the fight against the rebels. Lansdale quickly   to work with foreign figures, his hatred of
        market access.
           Most of all, a trade war à la the 1930s   grasped that these kinds of responses to a skillful   bureaucracy had made him a pariah in Wash-
                                          guerrilla enemy, one that also employed effective   ington. Reflecting these attitudes, McNamara
        must be avoided. Back in 1929, freshly   propaganda, was a formula for a bloody defeat.  ignored his advice. Even though Lansdale re-
        minted President Herbert Hoover
                                            Lansdale befriended and then won the total   turned to Vietnam, his time there was mostly
        thought that putting new tariffs on food   confidence of an incorruptible politician—a true   an exercise in frustration. He was given no
        imports would help beleaguered Ameri-
                                          rarity in that country—Ramon Magsaysay. The   real authority, and the U.S. made the same
        can farmers, who had been hurt by low   two became inseparable, and Magsaysay, who   blunders the French had, along with a few
        commodity prices because of our abun-  with Lansdale’s help became defense minister   others of its own.  F


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