Page 26 - Modern Healthcare (January 2020)
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Direct care workforce growth and projections
                                                                                           Projected job growth, 2018-28
                                                                                           … it may not be enough to meet future demand as
                                                 While the number of direct care workers has
                                                                                           workers leave the profession through separations.
                                                 increased 52% overall since 2008 …
                                                   2008
                                                          2018
                                                                                             New jobs
                                                           452,460
                                    Personal care
                                                                                           736,700
                                                                                                          986,400
                                                           446,140
                                     Home health
                                                                                           317,700
                                                                 710,900
                                                              540,890
                                                                                                        1.04 million
                                  Residential care
                                                                  720,480
                                                               599,350
                                   Nursing homes
                                                                                           -19,300
                                                              581,140
                                                                                                  1 million
                                                0 Employment, 2008-18  1 million  1.55 million  0 168,400   639,900 Separations  2.7 million
                                                         500,000
                                                                                                                         3 million
                                                                                1.5 million
                                                                                                               2 million
                                                              Employment                                  Open positions
                              Source: PHI report: “Caring for the Future: The Power and Potential of America’s Direct Care Workforce”
                              will lead to further shortages and higher costs for those   pervision, training and career opportunities, and the social
                              seeking care,” said David Grabowski, a health policy pro-  status of direct care work are also essential.
                              fessor at Harvard Medical School, who recently visited a   “We haven’t valued this workforce,” said Robyn Stone,
                              nursing home where the majority of caregivers were Hai-  senior vice president of research at LeadingAge, which
                              tian immigrants.                                      represents not-for-profit providers of aging services. “They
                                There’s a broad consensus that raising wages from the   aren’t just taking people to the toilet. They are doing more
                              median hourly wage of $12.27, or $20,200 annually, to at   sophisticated work such as observing changes in condi-
                              least $15 an hour is necessary to recruit and retain work-  tion. Better wages can help, but the work environment is
                              ers. A number of states and cities have moved to do that,   the most important ingredient.”
                              under pressure from labor unions. Fifteen percent of direct   Getting medical professionals to recognize personal care-
                              care workers have incomes below the federal poverty level,   givers as valuable members of the clinical team is key. “You
                              while 44% earn under 200% of poverty, according to PHI.  can see the difference in patients when they have caregivers
                                Experts say it would also help to offer them health in-  who are very engaged,” said Dr. Jennifer Reckrey, an asso-
                              surance and other benefits. More than 2 in 5 workers are   ciate professor of geriatric medicine at the Icahn School of
                              enrolled in Medicaid or other public assistance programs,   Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York City who visits elderly
                              based on PHI data.                                    and disabled patients at home. “I’ve been surprised by how
                                “It’s a struggle paying rent, utilities and car insurance,”   often physicians and nurses consider them an interchange-
                              said Thomasine Wilson, a veteran home-care aide in    able pair of hands rather than someone providing nuanced
                              Richmond, Va., who makes $10.50 an hour with no health   care. That respect piece is the first step.”
                              insurance. She’s working with the Service Employees In-  Long-term care providers increasingly understand they
                              ternational Union lobbying Virginia lawmakers to raise   have to do much more to expand the pool of high-quality
                              the state’s $7.25 minimum wage. “They’re paying us early   direct care workers to serve the burgeoning population of
                              1970s wages and it’s 2020.”                           elderly and disabled Americans who need post-acute and
                                Improving pay and benefits is particularly necessary in   long-term services and support.
                              the current tight labor market where unskilled workers can
                              earn as much or more in less demanding fast food or retail   Policymakers, providers take action
                              jobs. But the pressure for higher wages is putting a squeeze   Federal and state policymakers, as well as charitable
                              on long-term care providers, who rely heavily on Medicaid   foundations, also are starting to step up. Congressional
                              payments that may not be adequate to cover higher pay.   Democrats last fall introduced the Direct Care Opportunity
                                But a push for boosting Medicaid rates to cover higher   Act to invest in recruiting, retaining and supporting workers
                              pay could lead to fewer services being offered.       who provide daily living assistance to millions .
                                “Medicaid is always challenged by providers and other   States like California, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wis-
                              stakeholders to increase reimbursements everywhere,” said   consin have convened policy work groups to develop strat-
                              Matt Salo, executive director of the National Association of   egies to respond to the looming workforce crisis. They have
                              Medicaid Directors. “So the call for a (higher) minimum   focused on boosting compensation, improving training,
                              wage in long-term care is at odds with calls for increased   expanding the scope of practice, and developing career
                              funding for dental care, primary care, hospitals, etc.”  advancement opportunities. Wisconsin made $2.3 million
                                Better compensation isn’t the only issue. Improving su-  available last year to train about 3,000 certified nursing as-
                             24  Modern Healthcare | January 27, 2020
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