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ADU ReVIeW



                  WAF keeping costs in check




           est African Resources Ltd (WAF) ex-  of August] and about on guidance for costs,   same methodology for the Sanbrado build in
       Wecutive  chairman  Richard  Hyde  has   however, we’re seeing increased fuel prices   the development of Kiaka, including contract-
       warned rising fuel prices will soon start to im-  in West Africa which tend to lag the oil price,”   ing Lycopodium Ltd to construct the process-
       pact the cost of production from the Sanbrado   Hyde said.               ing plant.
       gold mine in Burkina Faso.            “We’re paying about $US1.35/L for diesel   “We’ve sized the plant on 7 mtpa as a
        AISC at Sanbrado averaged just $US947/  and it’s going to increase to about $US1.80/L   nameplate, however, we did something simi-
       oz over the first half of 2022, but Hyde ex-  very soon, so we’ll start to see some of these   lar with Sanbrado – I think initially that was
       pects that figure to increase over the balance   cost increases flowing through late this quar-  about 2 mtpa – which we’ve now ramped up
       of the year as fuel prices soar more than 30%   ter and into next quarter.”   to 3.2 mtpa,” he said.
       above current levels.                 WAF  has  outperformed  every  plus-  “Having that experience, we’ve designed
        Despite the anticipated higher costs, WAF   200,000 ozpa producing gold company on   Kiaka at 7 mtpa, but we can take that to 8.4
       remains firmly on track to meet guidance of   the  ASX  over  the  last  three  years,  having   mtpa just by processing up to the design ca-
       220,000-240,000oz at $US1,040-1,100/oz   switched the lights on at Sanbrado during the   pacity of the plant. Then we’ve also got the
       AISC.                               early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in   opportunity to expand that further to over 10
        “We’re currently tracking slightly ahead of   the beginning of 2020.    mtpa through additional crushing or debottle-
       guidance on production [circa 150,000oz end   With a 10-year production target of 3.5 moz   necking the plant, which we’ll be working on
                                           in mind, WAF is now looking to add a second   during this construction phase.”
                                           operation to the mix following the release of a   WAF has again appointed Orimco Pty Ltd
                                           feasibility study on the nearby Kiaka project   to lead the debt financing process for Kiaka,
                                           acquired from B2Gold Corp and GAMS Min-  having previously helped the company se-
                                           ing F&I for $US100 million late last year.  cure a now fully repaid $US200 million facility
                                             Kiaka, about 45km south of Sanbrado, is   from Taurus Asset Management to construct
                                           forecast to produce 219,000 ozpa over 18.5   Sanbrado.
                                           years. Capex for the proposed 7 mtpa opera-  “We had 16 firm bids for the debt for San-
                                           tion is estimated at $US430 million, to be re-  brado and we’d expect a similar sort of ap-
                                           paid in 2.5 years.                   proach,”  Hyde  said.  “Another  significant
                                             Early  works  will  begin  at  Kiaka  over  the   investment of a similar size would see us
                                           coming months before full construction starts   probably debt funding the whole project with
                                           early next year. The first gold pour is slated   additional cash flow from Sanbrado or from
                                           for May 2025.                        corporate.”
                                             Hyde said the company would apply the
                             Richard Hyde                                                   – Michael Washbourne


       Increase taxes at your peril



          frican governments have been sound-  zania (18.5%), Egypt (17.2%) and Zambia
       Aed a warning about the consequences   (12.8%). All five countries, excluding Zam-
       of overzealous fiscal regimes with research   bia which was not assessed in 2018, were
       from PwC suggesting at least five countries   down  on  their  previously  reported  invest-
       would struggle to justify construction of a   ment returns.                                    Olivier Marion
       new mine.                             “This clearly demonstrates the impor-
        For  the  first  time  since  2018,  PwC  as-  tance  of  a  balanced  win-win  scenario  for   est share of the revenue from the hypo-
       sessed  the  tax  regimes  for  five  African   both miners and governments,” Marion   thetical mine, followed by Tanzania (73%),
       nations – Ghana, Zambia, Egypt, Namibia   said.                          Egypt  (63%),  Ghana  (60%)  and  Namibia
       and Tanzania – for development of a hypo-  The PwC report noted both Tanzania   (47%).
       thetical 200,000 ozpa gold mine with a 10-  and Namibia had undergone no major tax   “Whilst  the  Zambian  Government
       year operating life.                alterations since 2018, while Ghana had   would theoretically get $US754 million of
        Development  capex  of  $US150  million   introduced a number of levies which were   the $US956 million of cash flow from this
       is assumed, along with a real gold price of   impacting returns.         project, if the IRR threshold of 25% was
       $US1,600/oz  and  AISC  of  $US945/oz.  A   Egypt’s IRR was found to have dropped a   set even lower, let’s say at 20% instead of
       minimum 25% IRR is required to justify an   few percentage points due to a higher gold   25%...there would actually be no mine es-
       investment decision from resource compa-  price compared to four years ago, which re-  tablished in Zambia and therefore no gov-
       nies.                               sulted in a higher share of profit going back   ernment revenue at all,” Marion said.
        Presenting  the  findings  at  Africa  Down   to the Government.         “If the fiscal regimes prove very challeng-
       Under, PwC partner Olivier Marion re-  An export levy introduced in 2019 was   ing, no matter how good a particular mine
       vealed that while Namibia (24.7%) again   deemed to have a negative impact on min-  or resource may be, a deposit left unmined
       presented the best investment case, it was   ing investment in Zambia.   is of no value to the host government and its
       short of the required benchmark.      If the minimum 25% IRR is put aside,   people, or to the miner.”
        Ghana (21%) was next, followed by Tan-  Zambia (79%) would command the great-
                                                                                            – Michael Washbourne


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