Page 62 - APPLIED PROCESS DESIGN FOR CHEMICAL AND PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS, Volume 1, 3rd Edition
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Process Planning,  Scheduling and Flowsheet Design                      47

           ments  will  give  total  plant  costs.  The  plant will  include   Pa  =  Cost of plant or section of plant of original capac-
           usual  control  buildings,  structure,  foundations, overhead   ity "a."
           charges, construction fees, engineering costs, etc. A value   Cb  =  Capacity of plant or section  of new  requirements.
           of 4.0 is  usually quite good.                              Ca  = Capacity of  plant or section of  original requirements.
             The  process designer must be aware of costs as reflect-
           ed  in  the  ( 1)  selection  of a  basic  process  route  (2)  the   This is  applicable for any given year of installation but
           equipment to  be  used  in  the  process  and  (3)  the details   does  not correct for the  differences  in  cost from year  to
           incorporated into the equipment.  The designer must not   year.  This is conveniently done as described in  the section
           arbitrarily select equipment, specify details or set pressure   for  year  indices.  Experience  has  indicated  that  this  six-
           levels for design without recognizing the relative effect on   tenths  rule is  reasonably accurate for capacity scale-up of
           the  specific  cost  of an  item  as  well  as  associated  equip-   individual items of  equipment.  Thus, if the cost of one size
           ment such as relieving devices,  instruments, etc.    of a piece of equipment is known, an estimating figure for
             With  more  and  better  information  regarding  the   one twice as large can be found by multiplying by  (2) 0·6.
           process  and  layout plans,  estimating  engineers  can  pre-   The  most difficult feature  of this  method  is  that  for
           pare  detailed  estimates  which  are  often  quite  accurate,   each type of plant or plant product as well as for each type
           usually  ±10  percent  for  the  best.  It  is  the  duty  of  the   of equipment  there  is  a  break-point  where  the  0.6  no
           process designer  to  supply  the best information in  order
           to contribute  to better or improved estimates.       longer correlates  the change  in capacity.  For small equip-
                                                                 ment or plants in reasonable pilot or semi-works size,  the
             Estimating equipment costs is a specialty  field in itself.   slope  of  the  cost  curve  increases  and  the  cost  ratio  is
           Therefore,  the estimator must have access  to continuous-   greater than 0.6,  sometimes  0.75, 0.8 or 0.9.  From several
           ly  updated  basic  reference  costs  and  to  graphical  costs   cost values for respective capacities a log-log plot of capac-
           relations  which are  a  function of capacity  of this  equip-   ity  versus  cost will  indicate  the  proper exponent by  the
           ment.  Page's  [10]  Estimator's  Manual  of Equipment  and   slope  of the resultant curve.  Extrapolation beyond eight
           Installation  Costs  is  a  helpful  reference.  Since  the  equip-   or ten fold is usually not too accurate.
           ment is  only  a  portion of the  total  cost of a  plant,  or an
           addition  to  a  chemical  project,  installation  costs  which
           reflect  the  labor  portion  of the  total  cost  must also  be   Yearly Cost Indices
           determined.  Useful  and  comprehensive  data  for  such
           needs  are  presented  for  equipment  [10],  general  con-   The  three  most  used  cost  indices  for  the  chemical,
           struction  [ 11],  heating,  air-conditioning,  ventilating,   petrochemical, and refining industry for relating the cost
           plumbing  [12], piping  [13], electrical  [14]  and all  disci-   level  of a given year or month to a reference point are
           plines  [ 42]  in the references indicated.
             From  such  information  even  the  inexperienced  esti-   1.  Chemical Engineering Plant  Cost  Index  [42].  Probably
           mator can  establish  an  approximation  of the  costs,  pro-   the most commonly used cost adjusting index print-
           vided  he  adequately  visualizes  the  work  functions  and   ed/updated monthly  is in  Chemical Engineering Mag-
           steps  involved. From the same type of work reference, the   azine and has established continuity over many years.
           experienced  estimator can develop a realistic  ccst,  usual-   Its  breakdown  component costs  apply  to  plants and
           ly  expressed  with  certain  contingencies  to  allow  for   plant equipment/systems.
           unknown  factors  and  changing  conditions.  The  profes-   2.  Marshall  and  Swift  Equipment  Cost  Index  [57].  Com-
           sional  estimator  will  normally  develop  cost  charts  and   monly  used  for  process  industry  equipment  and
           tables  peculiar  to  the  nature  of his  responsibilities  and   index  numbers  presented  by  industries  in  Chemical
           requirements of  his employer.
                                                                     Engineering Magazine on a monthly basis.
           Six-Tenths Factor                                       3.  Nelson Index [58]. This is  generally suited to petrole-
                                                                     um  refining  plants  and  is  referenced  to  them.  It is
             This factor as  presented by  Chilton  [ 4]  has been  used   updated  and published regularly  in  The  Oil and Gas
           fur scale-up of total or segments of plant cost.          Journal.

                                                                   These indices are used to up-date  costs when values at
                    ( C  •  b   )0.6                             some  date  are  known.  The  new  costs  are  of estimating
             Pb  =  pa   c-:-                                    accuracy and should be verified whenever possible.jusr as
                                                                 the results of using the 0.6 power for correlating cost and
           where  Pb  = Cost of  plant or section of plant of new capacity "b."   capacity.
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