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Chapter 4
               Analysis and Recommendations








               Great Power Rivalry in South China Sea





                     China and the United States are           in a healthy way, the region can flourish.

               caught up in a different game than the          The side which manages economy well
               emerging power and the established              is likely to walk away with the leadership

               power struggles of the past. The over           role in the region with maximum support
      Implications to ASEAN
               emphasis on political-military relationships     of ASEAN nations.

               often  tends  to  ignore  pre-dominant
               economic issues. While the military conflict          China and United States have huge

               between these two states is far from            mutual economic interests in the region.

               inevitable because of serious hegemonic         China is much more open to U.S. trade

               conflicts; they have enormous common            and investment than its allies Japan and
               interests that are currently being neglected,     South Korea. This openness provided
         Evolving Geo-Strategic Matrix in South China Sea:
               especially in the South China Sea. For the      United States an opportunity to save huge
      24       US, China should not be seen as a demon         number of jobs during the 2007-2008


               and US and its allies, not as angels and        financial crisis, which was vital for its
               vice versa. Both need to co-exist in the        declining economy. Major manufacturers

               region as it is, not as they wish it to be.     of Western value added goods can only

                                                               survive with access to Chinese demand.
               Economic Strategy vs Military                   The center of gravity of the world consumer

               Strategy                                        market is now Asia, mainly China. The mutual

                                                               interests are inseparable. Operational

                     The basic difference between an           Sino-American economic relationship

               economic strategy and a military strategy is    has led to the poverty alleviation in the
               that economic strategy is never a zero-sum      third world. We have more basic goods than

               game; both sides tend to gain from a            we actually need. The national security

               meaningful economic strategy. If United         benefits from economic stability has

               States and China and their respective           resulted in considerable decline in global
               allies in the region compete economically       grievance and terrorism. Sino-American
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