Page 74 - The Atlas of Economic Complexity

MAPPING PATHS TO PROSPERITY | 75

ranking 3 shows the ranking for total GDP growth. This by region:
ranking is dominated by Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania. The By region, in East Asia and the Pacific the expected leaders
three East African nations have a level of complexity that in GDP growth are Philippines (12), Malaysia (15) and China
is higher than would be expected given their very low level (20), while laggard is Australia (107). In South Asia the best
of income, and occupy the positions 24, 13 and 39 of the performing country is expected to be India (8), while Bangla-
rankings of growth in GDP per capita. However, they reach desh is the laggard (51). In Eastern Europe and Central Asia
top of the total GDP growth because of their expected lev- the top performers are the Kyrgyz Republic (21), Turkey (40)
els of high population growth (we use forecast of popula- and Uzbekistan (43). The worst performers in this region are
tion growth rates to the year 2020 performed by United Na- Latvia (114) and Georgia (121).
1
tions ). With the exception of India and Guatemala, 8 out In Latin America the fastest growing countries are expect-
of the 10 countries at the top of Ranking 3 are from Africa. ed to be Guatemala (9), Panama (13) and Mexico (22), while
Also, the ranking shows that we expect India’s total GDP the worst performance is expected in Trinidad and Tobago
growth to top China’s. Map 3 shows the geographic pattern (119) and Cuba (128). Jordan (11), Egypt (14) and Yemen (16)
of total GDP growth, and Figure 3 plots total GDP growth as a are expected to lead GDP growth in Middle East and North
function of GDP per capita. Africa, while the laggards are Iran (117) and Libya (123).
GDP growth in Western Europe is expected to be lead by
The United Kingdom (92), followed closely by Ireland (93).
At the bottom of the list we expect to find Greece (126) and
1 United nations, Department of economic and social affairs, population Norway (128).
Division (2011)