Page 4 - The Pulse Issue 6 Online
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QUARTERLY MARKET REVIEW



      A Message From the Directors*
     MARKET UPDATE




       What a crazy quarter!                                    mortgage rates and a high employment rate, is likely to
                                                                support house price levels over the coming months.
       As I write this article, a hung parliament has just been
       announced. Expected by a few but clearly the cause of    I find it astonishing (and scary) that 2 million borrowers
       worry and uncertainty for many.                          who are not actually  mortgage prisoners are on  their
                                                                lender’s SVR. Recent research by Trussle shows 18% of
       After the triggering of Article 50 on 29th March, on 18th   all mortgagors are on a SVR, with inertia being the main
       April, just when you thought things were settling down a   reason as 1 in 4 borrowers don’t even know what a SVR
       bit, Theresa May called the General Election with a view   means. More needs to be done to educate homeowners
       to gaining a clear mandate to make a success of Brexit.   and there is a massive need for brokers to assist.
       Probably  THE  biggest  backfire  of  her  career!  As  Gavin
       Barlow lost his seat in the election and is now Chief of   Data from the Council of Mortgages Lenders shows that
       Staff, we are now in line for a new Housing Minister. Let’s   buy to let purchase transactions peaked at 29,100 in March
       hope they are up to the job with a clear policy to help first-  2016 and now over a year on they are down to 6,000 per
       time buyers and home movers across the country!          month, while remortgage levels have remained relatively
                                                                stable. Buy-to-let is going through a period of adjustment
       With all the uncertainties, it’s not a surprise that the average   with the changes to mortgage interest tax relief far more
       UK house price rises fell 2.1 per cent in May, according to   significant than the 3 per cent stamp duty surcharge on
       the latest Nationwide house price index. We’ve also seen   investment properties.
       a 0.2 per cent month-on-month drop in house prices.  In
       addition, the lender estimates the average UK property is   It is clear many landlords have not yet felt the full impact
       now worth £208,711. Regardless of the figure, with limited   of the changes because these are being phased in, and
       wage increases, it’s getting harder for the first-time buyer   there is uncertainty as investors are not yet sure what it
       and the Bank of Mum and Dad is moving up the list of top   will mean for their bottom line. There is definitely more
       lenders!                                                 caution than previously.

       Despite this and with the base rate remaining at 0.25%   With the complexities of the regulatory changes, more and
       with only one way to go, first-time buyer activity is at a   more consumers are turning  to Intermediaries for help
       5-year high. While the base rate remains so low, continued   with buy to let and non-standard applications. Two thirds
       affordable  mortgages  have  provided  first-time  buyers   of specialist mortgages are now via Intermediaries so we
       with  an  ideal  opportunity  to  take  their  first  step  onto   are well placed for a positive outlook.
       the property ladder. For those with enough savings for a
       deposit, now is a great time to buy.                     The good news is that there is no sign of a market collapse
                                                                while mortgage rates remain low.
       The supply of new homes and existing properties available
       for sale remains low, this combined with historically low   Nikki Haworth
                                                                Sales & Marketing Director

       3      *Information provided is correct at the time of publishing - 11/06/2017.
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