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production casing.  When BP drilled out the cement job on the 16‐inch
                   intermediate long string, it discovered that the condition of the shoe track
                   suggested that the cement had not set up properly, leading the cement to channel
                   and result in lost returns.
                                              96

                                   5.    Cement Modeling


                          Offshore operators use cement models to calculate real‐time equivalent
                   circulating densities based on actual cement volumes, rates and fluid densities.
                   By modeling various inputs, operators can assess, among other things, the
                   likelihood that channeling in the cement will occur as it sets up.  Channeling in
                   cement is a problem because it can provide an opportunity for gas to flow
                   through the cement, which is quantified as gas flow potential.

                          For the Macondo well, BP used Halliburton’s OptiCem program to model
                   pumping sequences of various fluid densities and volumes to determine whether
                   the minimum formation fracture pressure would be exceeded.  In all, Halliburton
                   developed at least 30 to 40 models for the cement to be used with the Macondo
                   production casing.   In developing these models, BP and Halliburton frequently
                                       97
                   changed assumptions about the casing string and number of centralizers to be
                   used.  For example, Halliburton generated an OptiCem model on April 15 at 3:30
                   p.m., which showed that channeling could result if only ten centralizers were
                   installed in the well.  The model called for ten centralizers to be installed between
                   18,300 feet and 17,811 feet measured depth, using approximately 45‐foot spacing
                   and an approximate 80% standoff.   The resulting gas flow potential (“GFP”)
                                                       98
                   was moderate at a reservoir zone of 18,200 feet measured depth.

                          Later on April 15, Halliburton ran a second model using 21 centralizers
                   installed between 18,300 feet and 17,400 feet measured depth, using 45‐foot
                   spacing with a 70% top of centralized interval standoff.  This model predicted
                   that channeling would not occur; the resulting gas flow potential was minor.
                   Based on this report, BP ordered 15 additional centralizers to supplement the six
                   centralizers already on the Deepwater Horizon.  BP’s decision‐making with respect


                   96  BP‐HZN‐MB100036098.  Cement channeling is a failure during the cementing of the casing to
                   the formation in which the cement slurry leaves open spaces where hydrocarbons can potentially
                   flow.  The shoe track is the space between the float collar and a piece of equipment called a
                   reamer shoe (located at the bottom of the casing).
                   97  Testimony of Jesse Gagliano, Joint Investigation Hearing, August 24, 2010, at 245.
                   98  Standoff is the smallest distance between the casing and the wellbore wall.  The standoff ratio is
                   the ratio of the standoff to the annular clearance for a perfectly centered casing.


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