Page 39 - (DK) The Business Book
P. 39

START SMALL, THINK BIG          37 37


                                         Us.) The online clothing retailer   of this new market. But success
                                         boo.com is an example of a first-  is not guaranteed—a 2012 study
                                         mover that had technological     revealed that on average, 65
                                         superiority, but was ahead of its   percent of users delete apps within
                                         time—the site was too resource-  90 days of installing them.
         If later entrants can leapfrog   heavy for most consumers’ slow
        pioneers, companies could be     Internet connections. Launched in   Timing is everything
            better off entering late.    1999, boo.com went into receivership  The reason a first-mover does
             Peter Golder and            the following year—being first is   not always yield its promised
               Gerard Tellis             not a guarantee of success if the   advantages is that much depends
                                         basic business model is flawed.   on timing, and therefore luck. In
                                            Despite the evidence presented   their 2005 paper, “The Half-Truth
                                         by Golder and Tellis, and examples   of First-Mover Advantage,” US
                                         such as Google, it remains the case   business scholars Fernando Suarez
                                         that first-mover advantage has    and Gianvito Lanzolla identified
                                         captured corporate imagination.   technological innovation and the
        mistakes of these earlier entrants   Mirroring the earlier dot-com gold   speed at which the market is
        and, quite simply, build a better   rush, the recent boom in the market  developing as crucial in
        product. The organization realized   for web-based smartphone- and   determining whether or not being
        that with so much information on   tablet-accessed applications (the   a first-mover is advantageous.
        the Internet people wanted search   “app” market) is fueled by a desire   Their findings suggest that
        results that were comprehensive   to be first. Thousands of apps have   when a market is slow-moving and
        and relevant; the various market   launched in the hope of staking   technological evolution is limited,
        incumbents offered a variety of   their claims on lucrative segments   first-mover advantage can be ❯❯
        systems for filtering search results,
        but Google was able to take the
        best of these systems and build
        its own unique algorithm that led                          80
                                                                                  73
        to market dominance.
                                                Launched just
        First-mover failures
                                                two years later,
        There are numerous examples in          Commodore’s
        corporate history of first-movers        “fast-follower” GUI
        that were unable to achieve or          computer yielded a                               36
                                                shareholder return
        maintain a competitive advantage.       of 80 percent.
        Famous failures in the online
        sphere include Friends Reunited     SHAREHOLDER RETURN (%)
        and MySpace. Although both
        companies still exist, their first-                                        Apple Lisa (1983)
        mover advantage was not sufficient                     Apple’s pioneering
        to offset the might (and product                      GUI computer was a   Commodore Amiga (1985)
                                                              commercial failure,
        superiority) of Facebook. Similarly,                  with a shareholder   IBM Personal System/2 (1987)
        eToys.com, launched in 1999, was                      return of -61 percent.
                                                                                  HP (1989)
        one of a new breed of online retailers,
        but first-mover advantage was not           -61
        enough to sustain the business and                    Being the first-mover in a new, untried market
                                                              does not always result in success. Apple’s Lisa was
        the company declared bankruptcy
                                                              the first computer with a Graphical User Interface
        in 2001—by coincidence, the same
                                                              (GUI)—a version of which now forms the user
        year that Amazon started to sell                      interface of every computer, smartphone, and
        toys. (Resurrected some years later,                  digital device—yet sales were far exceeded by
        etoys.com is now owned by Toys R                      later offerings from Commodore, IBM, and HP.
   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42   43   44