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ADU PReVIeW



                     Jupiter shoots




                        for the stars



          fresh approach to both growth and mar-  “Jupiter can become relevant in manga-  low expectations due to line issues while port
       A  keting could turn Jupiter Mines Ltd into   nese through consolidation and adding more   authorities struggle to maintain capacity.
       one of the most exciting African stories on the   value,” Murray explained. “We have a 100-  Murray said logistics were the biggest im-
       ASX.                                year mine life in the largest manganese re-  pediment to growth.
        Jupiter has felt like a forgotten anomaly   gion in the world as a base.”  “Transnet is underdelivering by 20-30%,
       since listing on the Australian bourse in 2018   The launch of the new strategy will coincide   meaning we are forced to make it up through
       with its cornerstone asset of a 49% holding in   with the appointment of a new managing di-  trucking,” he said. “So, we can increase pro-
       the Tshipi manganese mine in the Northern   rector, expected to be in place by Africa Down   duction but that will be a high-cost solution.”
       Cape, South Africa. The company appeared   Under.                         Consolidation with other manganese op-
       content to share profits from the mine with its   “We have a preferential contract and we   erations in the region would allow Jupiter to
       shareholders without offering too much in a   are working through the final contract terms.   grow its capacity.
       way of growth.                      We’re optimistic he will be in place before   “Instead of being 10% of Transnet on the
        However, with well-known resources exec-  ADU,” Murray said. “The strategy then comes   railway, we could end up with 40% capacity,”
       utive Ian Murray now on board as chairman,   second. Even though Blind Freddy can see   Murray said. “By getting bigger, we would be
       the company is preparing to announce an   what it should be, it needs to be the new MD   able to have conversations with Government
       ambitious strategy which could see it become   who articulates it and delivers on it.”  and Transnet to improve our rail capacity.”
       a major player in several emerging commodi-                               The potential options for consolidation are
       ties.                                                                    numerous. South32 Ltd and Anglo American
        Tshipi gives it a very solid base. The mine                             plc are the largest players in the Kalahari Ba-
       has  been  producing  more  than  3  mtpa  of                            sin and are joined by several smaller plays.
       manganese ore for more than four years,                                   “Tshipi is on the boundary of South32’s
       having started operations in October 2012.                               operation  and  there  are  four  or  five  other
        Jupiter’s  May  quarterly  report  highlighted                          operations within 100km of us,” Murray said.
       just  how  valuable  those  rates  can  be  with                         “We would like to get ourselves into a position
       883,384t  sold  at  an  average  cash  cost  of                          where we can use our paper to pick up 100%,
       $US1.82/dmtu and 755,600t sold at an av-                                 or stakes in these assets.
       erage $US3.56/dmtu, delivering EBITDA of                                  “There  is  definitely  money  to  be  made
       $58.9 million and NPAT of $38.5 million.                                 through consolidation. We see the opportuni-
        While the mine’s 100-year lifespan would                                ty but need to work out what the order of play
       allow that performance to continue for dec-                              should be. We know what Step 1 is, but what
       ades to come, Murray’s arrival signals a new                             about Step 2, 3 and 4?”
       approach from Jupiter.                                      Ian Murray    Although delighted with the performance of
        “The previous strategy was to pass on the                               Tshipi – an achievement he credits to the local
       dividends we received from the South African                             South African company – Murray sees sense
       company directly onto our shareholders with   The most obvious starting point for consoli-  in deploying a diversification strategy as well,
       minimal dilution,” Murray told Paydirt. “But we   dation would appear to be Tshipi itself. Jupi-  given the often-difficult operational climate in
       sit on a world-class asset in the most impor-  ter controls 49.9% of the operating company   South Africa and manganese’s growing repu-
       tant manganese region in the world and we   Tshipi e Ntle Manganese Mining, with the   tation as a battery mineral.
       have begun asking ourselves what we can   remaining 50.1% held by black economic em-  “South Africa can be a challenging juris-
       do in regard to consolidation and growth to   powerment (BEE) group Ntsimbintle Mining   diction, but the board and management in-
       become a relevant player in the international   Ltd, which is also Jupiter’s largest sharehold-  country  are  doing  a  fantastic  job  in  finding
       manganese sector.”                  er. A structured merger could deliver 100%   proactive solutions to the challenges that are
        For Murray, the global conditions couldn’t   ownership under the Jupiter banner while en-  thrown at us and the workforce is dedicated
       be more suited to ambitious companies look-  suring both the company and project remain   with no labour issues,” he said. “This asset
       ing for expansion with the metal’s traditional   BEE-compliant. The cleaner framework is   is in the lowest cost quartile so it will make
       markets set to be joined by new sectors in the   likely to be welcomed in an Australian market   money through all cycles but as an ASX-list-
       coming decade.                      often wary of convoluted ownership structure.  ed company, there are compelling reasons to
        “Manganese  has  always  been  linked  to   Outside the immediate operation, Jupiter   diversify into other EV commodities and out-
       stainless steel and the EV space is a new   has its eye on regional consolidation, but the   side South Africa as well; whether the rest of
       one for manganese,” he said. “Most people   task is about more than finding more tonnes.  Africa or elsewhere, including Australia.
       don’t realise that 1% of manganese currently   “We already have potential to grow output   “Look  at  how  successful  IGO  [Ltd]  has
       goes into EVs but that will grow to 10%, above   from Tshipi but the challenge is getting prod-  been  with  its  diversification  strategy.  Given
       any future stainless steel demand, as the EV   uct to customers through existing rail and port   we have this world-class asset, we can use it
       revolution gathers pace.”           infrastructure,” Murray said.        to add others in the EV space.”
        Jupiter has aspirations to catch that market   South Africa has been crippled by a series           – Dominic Piper
       uplift but it will need the assets and the logis-  of infrastructure problems with the onset of
       tics to do so. The plan is to use Tshipi as a   the pandemic only accelerating issues. State
       springboard for those ambitions.    rail provider Transnet is running 20-30% be-


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