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AFRIcA



          Orion polishes Prieska                                                 Prieska copper-zinc project



                              numbers                                            updated BFS



                                                                                   Reserve:     14.5mt @ 1.1% copper
                                                                                                and 3.2% zinc

            revised BFS has provided Orion Miner-  to meet expectations. He said profiling the   Resource:   30.49mt @ 1.2% copper
         A  als Ltd the impetus it needed to press   company’s  ESG  work  –  including  district-       and 3.7% zinc
         ahead with development of its Prieska base   scale water management, renewable en-

         metals project in the Northern Cape, South   ergy and battery storage strategies and on-  Capex:    $414 million
         Africa.                             going community upliftment – had ongoing     Life-of-mine:    12 years

           The updated BFS, released in late May,   benefits.                    Throughput:     2.4 mtpa
         showed a two-year increase to mine life (to   “Although we did the original study with a

         12 years), a 20% increase to copper produc-  high level of ESG embedded, we probably   Production:    226,000t copper;
         tion (to 226,000t), a 17% increase to zinc   hadn’t highlighted it enough,” Smart said.        680,000t zinc

         production (680,000t), and increases to pre-  “As we began explaining to investors what   AISC margin:    47%
         tax cashflow (43% to $1.6 billion), AISC mar-  we were doing they were saying: ‘Why don’t

         gin (47%) and NPV (36% to $779 million).   you say more about this? Because our in-  Free cash flow:   $1.6 billion (pre-tax)
         Payback was also reduced by five months   vestors are interested’. These days most     NPV:    $779 million (pre-tax)

         to 2.4 years from first production and peak   fund managers are driven by ESG because   Payback:    2.4 years
         funding increased by 9% to $413 million.  a lot of the money comes with tags because
           Orion managing director Errol Smart told   people won’t invest in things which don’t
         Paydirt  TV  the  results  from  the  updated   have decent ESG.          right, for Vardocube is now at the final stag-
         study confirmed the inherent growth oppor-  “Working in an impoverished part of Af-  es, after environmental approval in January.
         tunities available at Prieska.      rica, you are immediately in the limelight and   And, the Minister [for Mineral Resources
           “We put out the original BFS last June but   we took a proactive approach from Day 1.   and Energy Gwede Mantashe] has said the
         had a bunch of studies still under way at the   We see it as an investment in our total busi-  DMRE is going to accelerate the granting
         time,” Smart explained. “The project was al-  ness because it pays a return.”  of licences because they see it as a critical
         ways great but we knew we could improve   Market  reaction  to  the  BFS  was  muted   redevelopment and financial investment op-
         the circuit, improve water management   but Smart was neither surprised nor disap-  portunity for South Africa.”
         and fiddle with schedule to mine some of   pointed that Orion shares didn’t climb.  That would allow Orion to benefit from a
         the better ore earlier, which is important for   “Getting investor reaction in this market is   predicted upturn in copper and zinc prices
         cashflow particularly when you are making   tough but what we have seen is the institu-  towards the middle of the decade.
         the project bankable.”              tional investors, the funds, ringing the phone   “There is a whole lot of mines which
           The revised economic numbers are   off the hook,” he said. “The data room is a   have shut down and they are not going to
         based on a reserve of 14.5mt @ 1.1% cop-  very busy place currently. This is what the   be incentivised to reopen at current copper
         per and 3.2% zinc. Smart said the increase   updated BFS was about. Mums-and-dads   prices, never  mind  any  price below  this,”
         in metal had been recognised by investors.   retail investors don’t want to see these num-  Smart said. “By 2024 the copper and zinc
           “There is a clear flick of a switch in peo-  bers, it is just a reminder of how much it will   prices will be responding very positively.
         ple’s minds when you go from nine years to   cost to fund development. But for institution-  That’s what we want to do; construct now
         12 years,” he said.                 al investors, those are exactly the numbers   while construction costs are very low and
           On the processing side, Orion incorpo-  they want to see because you have got the   harvest the asset in four years’ time when
         rated a SAG mill into the flowsheet and re-  multiple returns on investment.”  the price is rising.”
         moved secondary crushing, screening and   The revised BFS complete, Orion now plans   Much could depend on whether investors
         rock conveyors.                     to step up funding arrangements for Prieska.  deem South Africa a safe jurisdiction. The
           Also included in the updated BFS was   “We’ve engaged Macquarie on the debt   country’s mining sector has continued  to
         more detailed information on the company’s   financing  and  we  are  re-engaging  with   face upheaval as it deals with its problem-
         ESG plans. South Africa’s relationship with   strategic investors. We are prioritising the   atic past, poor safety standards and falling
         mining  is  delicately  balanced  and  led  by   strategic investors because these are big,   international influence. Smart has been an
         Smart, Orion is highly sensitive to the need   blue  chip  players  and  they  dictate  what   active member of the South African Miner-
                                                          the banking looks like in   als  Council  and  remains  confident  the  in-
                                                          the  end.  They  open  the   dustry will recover.
                                                          banking up on the right   “It is in a better space than what it has
                                                          terms.”                 been for a long time,” he said. “There is
                                                            If Orion can execute   a good relationship with the Minister; he
                                                          according to plan, it could   knows we come out fighting but he respects
                                                          be in construction at   that, and we can talk straight to the man.
                                                          Prieska – a historical pro-  “The  mining  industry  has  turned  itself
                                                          ducer up to 1990 – before   around as well. We are becoming masters
                                                          the end of the year.    of our own destiny, the way we behave is
                                                            “We  have  the  mining   important and we do have better health and
                                                          right for Ripley [one half   safety around our mines than is available in
                                                          of the orebody] which was    the cities or rural areas.”
                                                          granted  last  year,”  Smart
          An updated BFS has strategic and institutional investors showing   said. “The second mining           – Dominic Piper
            more interest in Orion Minerals’ Prieska copper-zinc project in
                                                South Africa
                                                                                      aUSTRaLIa’S PaYDIRT   JULY 2020   Page 61
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