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in value.




                Lesson  #6:  Trends.  A  trend  is  developed  when  an  investor  takes
                information from a set of facts and then forms an opinion. Let me tell you a
                story that had a major impact on my life.

                    In  late  1972,  the  North  Vietnamese  Army  (NVA)  crossed  the
                Demilitarized  Zone  (DMZ).  The  NVA  was  on  its  way  to  take  Saigon,
                known today as Ho Chi Minh City. The first major city south of the DMZ
                was Quang Tri. We knew that if we did not stop them there, the war was

                lost.
                    As we began to lose the battle for Quang Tri, I noticed some different
                message  traffic.  One  bit  of  information  was  that  the  South  Vietnamese
                people were trading their currency, the Vietnamese piaster, for gold leaf. I

                thought this piece of obscure information was interesting.
                    As stated throughout this book, the U.S. dollar stopped being money and
                became a currency in 1971. In 1973, while in Vietnam, I directly observed
                the  change  in  the  rules  of  money  via  the  information  received  about  the

                panic in the South Vietnamese people’s lives. They knew the war was lost
                and they were on the losing side.
                    In 1971, gold was pegged at $35 an ounce. In 1973, I watched its price
                go up past $80 an ounce. As the North Vietnamese began their march south,

                fear was approaching a panic level. The rich who sided with the U.S. were
                getting ready to run. Instead of clinging to the piaster or U.S. dollars, they
                were  buying  all  the  gold  they  could  get  their  hands  on.  One  intelligence
                report  I  received  stated,  “Confidence  lost.  People  ready  to  flee.  Trading

                dollars and ‘P’s’ [piasters] for gold.”
                    Sitting  in  the  Top  Secret  room,  I  realized  that  people  wanted  gold.  I
                assumed  they  knew  gold  would  buy  them  passage  to  another  country.  I
                could feel their anguish. They knew that gold could save their lives.

                    I knew the facts. The U.S. was losing the war. The enemy was taking
                ground. Internationally, the dollar was dropping and gold was going up in
                price.  From  the  intelligence  report,  I  knew  the  South  Vietnamese  people
                were panicking and dumping their currency to buy gold. To me, this trend

                was an investment opportunity. I used it to form an opinion.
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