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Trends in housing. One of the reasons for the high price of commodities is
                that  the  world  needs  and  wants  more  housing.  For  example,  demand  for

                concrete in China caused a shortage of concrete in the U.S., which caused
                the price of concrete to skyrocket.
                    One of the reasons I love investing in apartment houses is that, rich or
                poor, people will pay for a roof over their head. In America, the population

                is expected to grow from 300 million to over 400 million in the next two
                decades. So I believe the price of housing will continue to trend up.
                    As  real  estate  becomes  more  expensive  and  difficult  to  afford,  and  as
                wages  come  down,  I  believe  these  trends  will  cause  more  people  to  be

                renters. One of the reasons Kim and I did not panic during the August 9,
                2007, crash is because we rent out real estate for cash flow. We do not sell
                real estate. People who invest for capital gains are people who buy to sell
                real estate.

                    When the subprime mortgage market collapsed, sellers panicked. People
                who invested for cash flow, those who rent property to others, didn’t panic.
                In fact, they saw opportunity. In down markets, there are more renters than
                buyers, so a crash is generally good for landlords but not sellers.

                    The old woman chewing on betel nuts and selling gold knew that panic
                was going to make her rich. The trend was her friend. People who rent their
                property know that the trend is their friend. For those who sell property, or
                are counting on their property to appreciate in value, the short-term trends

                may  work  against  them.  Instead  of  prices’  going  up,  they  will  probably
                come down or remain flat. The boom is over for sellers and just beginning
                for landlords.




                Demography Is Destiny



                A very valuable source of information is demographics. As the saying goes,
                “Demography  is  destiny.”  In  other  words,  just  watch  people,  as  I  did  in
                Vietnam,  and  you’ll  know  which  way  to  invest.  Once  I  knew  that  when
                people panic they buy commodities with their currency, I had very valuable

                information for basing my opinions on trends. As gold went below $400 an
                ounce, I started to buy a little and began buying a lot when it hit $275 an
                ounce. Then the price began to head back up. In other words, I followed the
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