Page 89 - How to Make Money in Stocks Trilogy
P. 89

© 2009 Investor’s Business Daily, Inc.
                                                              150,000
                                                            350,000
                                                                  30,000
                                                          Volume
                                                                70,000
            Price
                         140
                           120
                             100
                 260
               300
              340
                   220
                     190
                       160
                                                     15
                                                    17
                                    60
                                       45
                                               24
                                                       13
                                          38
                                                  20
                                80
                                  70
                                                                     Sep 1966
                                                                     Jun 1966
                                                                     Mar 1966
            S&P 500
                                                                     Dec 1965
                                                                     Sep 1965
                                                                     Jun 1965
                                                     er
                                                    de
                                                    de
                                                  st t
                                                     and loose to safely buy on the attempted breakout 9 weeks late
                                                     e
                                                    normal handles correct only 8–12%, which makes this too wid
                                                    d
                                                    12%, which makes this too wid
                                                  Stock just corrected 32 to 26, almost 20% in handle area. Mos
                                                  s
                                                  M
                                                     s
                                                    o
                                                                     Mar 1965
                                                    t
                                                  e
                                                     e
                                                    h
                                                                         Xerox increased 660% in 168 weeks.
                                    st
                                    st
                                    ne and whole base is tight holding almos
                                    and whole base is tight holding almos
                                                  dl
                                   e
                                   pullback to 10-week moving average
                                                  n
                                                     u
                                                    e
                                   a
                                    m
                                                         red week huge volume but gives up small amount, 3rd week up big on huge volume
                                                         3rd week up big on huge volume
                                                  h
                                                        Huge volume support: 1st red week closes in upper half of week’s price range, 2nd
                                                                     Dec 1964
                                     all of its gain since advancing 100%
                                     all of its gain since advancing 100%
                                                  t 20% i
                                                         e
                                   v
                                    o
                                                        n
                                                     e
                                                    w
                                                  2
                                                                     Sep 1964
                                                  l
                                     a
                                                    8
                                                    normal handles correct only 8
                                                        s
                                     a
                                   -
                                                         b
                                                  6
                                                  26
                                    e
                                                                     Jun 1964
                                                  d 32 t
                                        Add: pullback to 10-week
                                                         w
                                                  d
                                   b
                                    w
                                                    r
                                        w
                                     g
                                     g
                                                        l
                                    pull
                                                      1962
                                                      in December 1962
                                   Add: pull
                                                  t
                                          moving average line
                                                                     Mar 1964
                                          g average line
                                    line a
                                    ine a
                                                         red week huge volume but gives up small amount
                                    line
                                          g
                                                         mou
                                                         5/1
                                                         5/1
                                                         5/1
                                                         5/1
                                                         5/1
                                                         5/1
                                                        u
                                                      b
                                                        u
                                                         5/1
                                                        u
                                     a
                                                         o
                                                  t
                                                    a
                                                      m
                                                     e
                                        c
                                          r
                                                  s
                                                                     Dec 1963
                                                  k j
                                          moving
                                                      D
                                                  St
                                        Add:
                                        Add:
                                          o
                                            3 more tight   32 3 more tight t  3m  3m  closing weeks  g  o  28  America’s Greatest Stock-Picking Secrets  41
                                                        k
                                        d
                                        d
                                          m
                                                                     Sep 1963
                                                        t
                                                         u
                                        Buy  B  12-week cup-with-handle  i  p-  cup-  p-  p  p  cup  -w  r marke  u  v  v  e  Jun 1963 Mar 1963
                                      3 weeks   3  tight closes   s  g  i  along lows  e  ndle similar to 44-week cup- 68-week cup-with-handle similar to 44-week cup  44  milar  ndle sim  m with-handle Xerox formed in 1957 bear market n 1957 bear market n 1957 bear mark  Hug  Hug  Dec 1962 Sep 1962
                           e
           Xerox–1963  Weekly Chart  1962 bear market creates 1962 bear market creates  r  2  the Xerox base  e  X  Do Not Buy! Straight Do Not Buy! Straight  a  up from 17.5 to 32,  3  m  too obvious and   v  market is correcting market is correcting  t  h  p  c  ndle Xerox for  f  d  n  Jun 1962
          Price =  20*eps  18  16  15  14  13  12  11  10   9.00    8.00   7.50   7.00   6.50   6.00   5.50   5.00   4.50    4.00   3.50    3.00   2.50    2.25    2.00    1.80    1.60    1.50    1.40    1.30    1.20    1.10    1.00    0.90    0.80    0.75    0.70    0.65
   84   85   86   87   88   89   90   91   92   93   94