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Kalanick recruited Droege, with whom he had cofound-             team of nearly 2,000 remained mostly unscathed. He admits
              ed a file-sharing startup as undergraduates at UCLA, in              it was a “tough year,” but he told his team to keep their heads
              March 2014 to head what was loosely called Uber Every-               down and execute.
              thing. His mandate: Find a service that could become as big             What’s most exciting to Uber executives is that many Eats
              as ride-hailing. Droege tried delivering everything from di-         customers don’t even use the ride-hailing service: Last year,
              apers and deodorant to daisies and dry cleaning. Nothing             four of every ten people who used Eats were new to Uber,
              worked—except food.                                                  giving the company access to fresh customers who might
                 After a few stunts like delivering ice cream and BBQ on           later be convinced to give the car service a try.
              the Fourth of July, Uber made its first serious attempt with            “Of all the side bets that Uber has made over the years,
              Uber Fresh. Fresh had drivers circling city blocks with cool-        whether it’s autonomous or delivering other things or dif-
              ers full of soups and sandwiches ready for delivery with-            ferent modalities of transportation, this has come out as the
              in minutes. On launch day in Los Angeles in August 2014,             clear number one in scale and executive attention,” says Mike
              the Uber team sold hundreds of meals in an hour and a half,          Ghaffary, the former CEO of delivery rival Eat24.
              a giant leap from the eight orders a day for deodorant. “The            Eats is closing in on Grubhub, still the U.S. market leader.
              signal spike was big,” Droege says.                                  In 2016, Grubhub controlled over half the market, says Wed-
                 It was the right market but the wrong product. Magical as         bush analyst Ygal Arounian. Its market share dropped to 34%
              it was to have a driver show up with a burrito in 5 minutes at       in 2018, while Eats’ grew from 3% to 24%. “The pace of their
              the tap of an app, Droege realized customers would wait 30           expansion has caught everyone off guard,” Arounian says.
              minutes if they could order any meal they wanted. Internal-             But the tailwinds helping Eats, such as a generation turn-
              ly the team quietly started work on Project Agora (Greek for         ing to their phones first when hungry, also propelled its oppo-
              marketplace) to launch Uber Eats. They started in Toronto in         nents. In 2018, DoorDash raised about $1 billion in venture
              2015, chosen because competition was lighter than in a city          funding and nearly tripled its valuation to $4 billion. Post-
              like New York, and then expanded to Miami, Houston and               mates also raised $400 million in the last six months of 2018
              secondary cities like Tacoma, Washington. A couple of mar-           and now has a valuation of $1.9 billion. Both competitors also
              kets (Miami and Atlanta) became profitable in 2017, proving          benefit from their single-minded focus on food delivery.
              that the business was possible, at least in certain places.             To trim costs, Uber Eats batches orders so a driver can
                 But just as Uber Eats was getting traction, Uber’s executive      pick up multiple meals at once. It’s also enticing customers
              team fell apart in the wake of reports of sexual harassment,         with free delivery from restaurants that already have a courier
              gender discrimination and questionable business ethics. Ul-          en route. But Khosrowshahi draws the line when it comes to
              timately, Kalanick was ousted, and other groups, like self-          pairing passengers with pad thai: “We don’t want your experi-
              driving cars, lost their department heads. But Droege and his        ence to suffer because it may be good for our business.”
                                                                                                          To grow further, Uber Eats needs to
                                                                                                      win over more customers and restaurants.
                                                                                                      Droege is betting partnerships with Mc-
              Gobbling Market Share                                                                   Donald’s and Starbucks will entice custom-

              SINCE 2016, UBER EATS HAS GROWN FROM LESS THAN 5% OF THE U.S.                           ers to open the Uber Eats app instead of a
              FOOD DELIVERY MARKET TO NEARLY 25%—AND IT’S EXPECTED TO JUST                            competitor’s. Uber is also copying Grub-
              KEEP GETTING FATTER.                                                                    hub’s core business model and letting some
                                                                                                      restaurants do their own deliveries in ex-
              100%
                                         20%     21%      22%     20%      18%                        change for a bigger take of the bill.
               90%      26%     25%                                                                       Success depends on convincing res-
                                         2%       2%               2%      2%
               80%                                        2%                                          taurant owners like Simon Mikhail, of Si-
                        2%       2%
               70%                       12%     13%      13%     14%      15%      Other             Pie Pizzeria in Chicago, that Eats trumps
                        10%     12%                                                                   its rivals. Mikhail works with more than a
               60%      7%       9%      8%       8%      8%       9%      9%       Caviar            dozen delivery services, but only Uber Eats
                        3%                                                          DoorDash
               50%                                                                                    approached him with an idea for a virtual
                                13%      24%
               40%                               27%      27%     27%      27%      Postmates         restaurant, after it noticed how many folks
                                                                                    Uber Eats         in the neighborhood were searching for
               30%
                        52%                                                                           fried chicken. Now he sells 160 pounds of
               20%              40%                                                 Grubhub           chicken a week, exclusively through Uber
                                         34%
                                                 30%      28%     28%      29%
               10%                                                                                    Eats app. “They do cut into profit a little
                                                                                                      bit, but it’s worth it,” he says.
                 0%
                                                                                                          Will investors decide that Uber Eats is
                       2016     2017    2018     2019 1  2020  1  2021 1  2022 1
                                                                                                      also worth it? That’s now up to Droege to
              1 ESTIMATE. SOURCE: WEDBUSH SECURITIES ESTIMATES.                                       deliver. F




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