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                        Building China back up





          heavy infrastructure spend to stimu-  China with ease or travelling from China   their  supply  and  export  arrangements
       A  late  the  Chinese  economy  could   to here with ease to progress business   and their commercial relationships with
       rejuvenate commodity prices once the   relationships and business deals. It is   China.”
       coronavirus is contained.           the same for suppliers in mining equip-  Potential new investment opportuni-
        At the time of print, it was still too early   ment who need things manufactured in   ties between China and WA being nur-
       for experts to determine whether the vi-  China. I think best information is a cou-  tured  before  the  virus  outbreak  have
       rus had peaked or not, despite the num-  ple  of  months  before  things  return  to   been suspended for the time being.
       ber of new infections dropping to below   normal.”                        “As you can appreciate, the nature
       2,000  on  February  18;  the  first  time  it   Handley, also a senior partner at Mint-  of  Chinese  business  relationships  at
       had done so since January.          er Ellison, said he was working with his   the early stage requires face-to-face
        China’s  National  Health  Commission   mining clients on addressing workplace   contact, but we look forward to getting
       said the death toll on the mainland had   duties to staff on the ground in China or   on the ground  when the time is right,”
       reached  1,868,  with  1,886  new  infec-  people returning from China.  Handley said.
       tions confirmed for a total of 72,436, ac-  “We’re helping people deal with staff   Handley said the Australian Govern-
       cording to a Reuters report.        that have come back from China in the   ment’s dedicated health site and Smart-
        Strict travel bans to and from China   first 2-3 weeks before the travel ban was   Traveller were the best platforms for
       remained in place in late February and a   implemented and how they might need   people to stay abreast of the coronavi-
       return to business as usual was uncer-  to take steps to quarantine staff at home   rus situation.
       tain upon curtailment of the virus.  to ensure they are protected from the vi-  At the time of print, some workers had
        “People here [Australia] don’t need to   rus. We are receiving a lot of questions   slowly started returning to their day jobs
       be overly-alarmed, the virus is affecting   about workplace health and safety obli-  albeit in a restricted capacity as employ-
       people on the ground in China and with   gations,” Handley said.         ers impose procedures to minimise fur-
       the steps the Australian Government has   “We’re also giving lots of advice   ther spread of infections.
       taken here the chances of significant in-  around contractual issues, with some   While the rate of infection had showed
       fection spreading throughout Australia   of our export clients who are currently   signs  of  slowing  down  at  the  time  of
       is pretty minimal,” Australia China Busi-  exporting products to China particularly   print, Macquarie Group division direc-
       ness Council (Western Australia) presi-  in the bulk commodity space wanting to   tor, resources Hayden Bairstow said the
       dent Adam Handley told Paydirt.     understand the extent to which force ma-  market would be quick to react once the
        “In  terms  of  normality,  it  depends   jeure might be claimed under particular   virus was contained and expected a rise
       which sector you are in. A return to nor-  contracts by their Chinese counterparts.   in demand for base metals.
       mality for clients in the mining space   We’re helping them in understanding   “If it starts to slow down the market will
       means people being able to travel to   how they might minimise the impacts on   pretty quickly start to price in its conclu-
                                                                                sion and we will be back to normality,
                                                                                but certainly we can see what the gov-
                                                                                ernment in China is doing; they will in-
                                                                                frastructure their way out of it to get the
                                                                                economy back,” Bairsyow said.
                                                                                 “How  long it  takes for  consumer
                                                                                spending and confidence to come back
                                                                                for cars and all that sort of stuff is much
                                                                                harder to predict.”
                                                                                 ANZ (WA) head of loans and special-
                                                                                ised  finance  Megan  Joyce  said  China
                                                                                would need to restock its commodities
                                                                                chest when it started building again.
                                                                                 “I think the ANZ is a bit more positive
                                                                                on that and see it as more of a short-term
                                                                                blip, no doubt it will impact industry here
                                                                                and in China. But when they do come
                                                                                back and factories are back online, they
                                                                                will need to restock and that is when we
                                                                                will see prices back up. Once again, it
                                                                                will be harder at the smaller end who are
                                                                                struggling through that price period, but
                                                                                over the medium-term we expect it to be
                                                                                better,” Joyce said.
                                                                                                 – Mark Andrews


                                                                Adam Handley



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