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neWs                                                       West Musgrave JV


                                                                  (Oz Minerals 70%: Cassini Resources 30%)
                Power to the                                      February 2020 PFS    10 mtpa

                                                                  Processing:
                                                                  Life-of-mine :        26 years
            West Musgrave                                         Copper by the numbers: 28,000 tpa average production,
                                                                  78% recoveries, $US0.90/lb C1 cost payable net of
                                                                  by-product credits
                                                                  Nickel by the numbers: 22,000 tpa average production,
         here is probably no hotter topic than en-  Stage 2 at Agnew.  69% recoveries, $US1.30/lb C1 cost payable net of
       Tergy at the moment with pressure mount-  The Agnew hybrid re-  by-product credits
       ing on governments around the world to lower   newable project will be an   Pre-production capital:  $995 million
       carbon emissions to counter climate change   Australian first in the min-  (excluding study)
       and protect the environment.        ing sector, with wind gen-  Project payback from   6 years
        Big carbon emitting industries such as min-  eration incorporated as   decision to mine:
       ing are expected to change the way they op-  part  of  the  hybrid  micro-  Post-tax average net    $190 million p.a.
       erate and be better custodians of the planet.  grid, culminating in 54MW
        Since  coming  online  in  2016,  the  De-  of  total installed  genera-  cash flow:
       Grussa  solar  farm  has  reportedly  reduced   tion capacity and renewa-  Post-tax NPV:    $800 million
       Sandfire Resources Ltd’s carbon emissions   bles providing over 50%   Post-tax IRR:    20%
       by 30,789t and offset 11 million litres of diesel.   of Agnew’s power needs.   Decision to mine:    2021 (TBC)
        The DeGrussa solar project, which pro-  In 2018, energy de-  Project start:    2024 (TBC)
       vides about 20% of the mine site’s power,   mands accounted for
       was acknowledged as a “blueprint for the   about a fifth of operating
       adoption of renewable energy at other mine   costs for Gold Fields – which also has renew-  asset. However, further work is required in a
       sites around the world” when Sandfire was   able energy solutions at Granny Smith devel-  future feasibility study to maximise the pro-
       awarded the Golden Gecko Award for Envi-  oped by Aggreko.               ject’s power position. A gas pipeline remains
       ronmental Excellence by the West Australian   Emulating such cost savings and emis-  a secondary option to be further investigated
       Department of Mines, Industry, Regulation   sions reductions is the goal for West Mus-  during the next phase,” Cole said.
       and Safety last year.               grave JV partners Oz Minerals Ltd (70%) and   Significant  carbon  emissions  and  power
        It is encouraging that Sandfire is not peer-  Cassini Resources Ltd (30%).  costs can potentially be achieved by opting for
       less when it comes to charging mine sites via   Headlining the West Musgrave project is   vertical roller mills as the means for grinding
       renewable energy means, with Saracen Min-  the Nebo-Babel copper-nickel deposit, some   ore and a flotation flowsheet that achieves re-
       eral Holdings Ltd recently going live with its   500km west of Uluru, taking in the borders of   covery at a much coarser grind size, no doubt
       solar farm at Carosue Dam which is expected   Northern Territory, WA and South Australia.  music to the ears of potential financiers taking
       to produce 1,647MWh per year and result in   So isolated is the West Musgrave province,   a harder stance on ESG matters.
       the reduction of 988 tpa carbon dioxide.  the Oz/Cassini JV project stands to be one of   Furthermore, establishing a remote opera-
        Fellow WA gold producer and global min-  the most significant in the region should fur-  tions centre for the project means a smaller
       ing outfit Gold Fields Ltd celebrated the start   ther studies prove its viability.  environmental footprint at site and less planes
       of a landmark hybrid renewable project at Ag-  Last month, a PFS on the West Musgrave   carrying workers to and from one of the most
       new in late 2019.                   JV indicated pre-production capital costs (ex-  remote mine sites in Australia.
        Stage 1 of the project entails a 23MW pow-  cluding study costs) of almost $1 billion.  Having advanced the West Musgrave pro-
       er station integrating PV solar with gas and   Keeping costs to within margins expected   ject to PFS stage, concerns around the pro-
       diesel generation to fuel Agnew. The collabo-  in PFS outcomes while proving 70-80% of the   ject’s location appear to be nullified, however,
       rative work done between Gold Fields and   project’s power needs can be met by renew-  some analysts are wary of the big-ticket com-
       EDL, a global distributed energy producer,   able sources and supplemented by battery   mitments Oz has before it.
       is one of Australia’s largest hybrid renewable   storage and diesel or trucked gas fired gen-  West Musgrave is at the early stages of
       microgrid projects and Stage 2 stands to test   eration is now the aim, according to Oz chief   funding and regulatory approvals, while Oz’s
       the boundaries yet again.           executive Andrew Cole.               respective pipeline of expansion studies at
        An 18MW wind generation, 13MW battery   “The PFS base case assumes the power   Carrapateena and Prominent Hill and expan-
       and advanced micro-grid control system (due   solution will be outsourced to a third party,   sion ambitions in Brazil are worth taking into
       for completion in mid-2020) is planned for   with power purchased back over the life of the   account, according to RBC Capital Markets
                                                                                analyst Paul Hissey.
                                                                                 “Project sequencing will inevitably be the
              A decision to mine at the West Musgrave JV project could be made towards the end of   balancing act, with Oz management previ-
           next year and operations started by late 2024, according to an indicative timeline (yet to be   ously stating a desire to not progress two
        finalised) by Oz/Cassini. Meanwhile, a maiden ore reserve of 220mt @ 0.33% nickel and 0.36%   large-scale development projects in parallel,”
        copper for 720,000t nickel and 790,000t copper from Nebo-Babel was announced in February
                                                                                Hissey said in a research note.
                                                                                 “Whilst  Oz  provides growth potential  for
                                                                                those  investors  seeking  copper  exposure,
                                                                                we retain our caution on the stock given our
                                                                                views on the potential ramp-up risks at Car-
                                                                                rapateena over the next 12 months, when the
                                                                                project is mine constrained. We remain ‘Un-
                                                                                derperform’.”
                                                                                                 – Mark Andrews


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