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978    Part VII  Hematologic Malignancies


        offered.  Despite  this,  all  patients  who  are  potential  candidates  for   determined,  although  this  prognostic  scoring  system  is  used  less
        HSCT should be referred to a transplantation center early in their   frequently.
        disease course so that a discussion regarding the appropriateness of
        transplantation can occur and a donor search can be initiated, where
        appropriate. The correct timing of HSCT is therefore of paramount   Molecular Prognostic Factors
        importance, and decisions regarding the timing of HSCT should be
        made on more than patient preference alone.           Perhaps even more than in AML, mutation analysis undoubtedly led
           The  most  widely  used  clinical  prognostic  system  is  the  IPSS,   to a shift from rudimentary clinical prognostic models to molecularly
        which can predict both nontransplantation outcomes as well as MAC   defined models for prognosis and to guide therapy in MDS. As many
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        transplantation outcomes. 90,91  The IPSS-R will eventually supplant   as 75% of patients can be found to have one or more mutations.
        the IPSS as the dominant prognostic scoring system. Several groups   Numerous individual genes and whole genome expression profiling
        have  attempted  to  validate  this  newer  prognostic  construct  with   have demonstrated significant associations with MDS outcome, and
        transplant outcomes. A cohort of 519 MDS patients were reported   now,  some  of  these  mutational  profiles  have  been  associated  with
        by the Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo (GITMO) and   transplantation outcome.
        their outcomes were stratified by IPSS-R. In addition to the IPSS-R,   Examining  a  cohort  of  87  patients  who  underwent  allogeneic
        MK and the HCT comorbidity index independently predicted out-  transplantation at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Bejar et al were able
        comes. The  5-year  survival  outcomes  were  71%,  58%,  39%,  and   to demonstrate the adverse prognostic impact of three specific muta-
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        23% in the low, intermediate, high, and very high risk patients when   tions  on  outcome  after  transplantation.   In  this  cohort,  although
        classified by the IPSS-R. 92                          92% of subjects had at least one identifiable mutation, those with
           Several Markov decision models have suggested that the optimal   TET2 and DNMT3A had worse prognoses that those without these
        timing of transplantation is with the diagnosis of Intermediate-2 or   mutations,  whereas  those  with  mutations  in  TP53  had  the  worst
        higher  disease, 90,93   although  one  more  heterogeneous  analyses  sug-  outcomes, with no subjects surviving beyond 2 years after transplan-
        gested that even patients with Intermediate-1 risk disease should be   tation.  Mutations  in  TP53  were  extremely  powerful  predictors  of
                          94
        offered  transplantation.   Most  recently,  the  first  decision  model   relapse,  and  were  better  prognosticators  than  cytogenetic  status;
        utilizing the IPSS-R was presented. The results of this analysis sug-  subjects with complex karyotypes in the absence of TP53 mutations
        gested immediate transplantation for all patients with Intermediate   had similar outcomes to subjects without complex karyotypes, pos-
        risk disease by IPSS-R, and delayed transplantation for those with   sibly heralding the decline of the cytogenetic signature as the most
        low risk disease. 95                                  important  prognostic  marker  in  transplantation.  In  addition,  this
           A shortcoming of all of these analyses is the inability to provide   finding calls into question the role of conventional HSCT off clinical
        treatment decision guidance at clinically relevant times for patients   trials for those with the poorest risk profiles, since in the absence of
        not undergoing immediate HSCT, because other important clinical   strategies  to  reduce  relapse  after  transplantation,  transplantation
        events, such as a new transfusion requirement, recurrent infection, or   appears to offer little benefit.
        recurrent bleeding episodes certainly could be considered triggers to
        move on to transplantation. Thus it is useful to subdivide patients
        with lower-risk MDS into more-refined prognostic groups that may   Incorporating Comorbidity for Patient and Conditioning 
        benefit from HSCT.                                    Intensity Selection Before Transplantation
           Transfusion frequency and resultant iron overload have both been
        demonstrated to be important prognostic factors in HSCT outcomes.   With increased comorbidity comes an increase in the rate of adverse
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        Platzbecker et al  compared the effects of transfusion dependency   outcomes in hematologic malignancies, and, in particular, the treat-
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        at  the  time  of  HSCT.  Even  though  the  transfusion-dependent   ment  of  MDS.   Previously,  it  was  demonstrated  that  age  alone
        group  had  more  low-risk  features,  OS  was  inferior,  with  a  3-year   cannot be used as a surrogate for comorbidity, as demonstrated by
        OS  of  49%  compared  with  60%  in  the  transfusion-independent   an analysis of over 500 individuals with MDS who underwent a first
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        group  (p  =  0.1). The  Pavia  group  examined  a  cohort  of  patients   RIC transplantation.  Several comorbidity scores have been devel-
        stratified  by  IPSS  to  determine  the  relevance  of  the  newer  World   oped to help provide prognostic information in myeloid malignan-
        Health  Organization  (WHO)  histologic  classification  scheme  and   cies. In MDS, the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Comorbidity
        to determine if transfusion requirement influenced outcomes among   Index, developed by Sorror and colleagues, 102,103  has been shown to
        different  IPSS  groups.  For  patients  with  low-  and  intermediate-1   carry prognostic value, even in patients with MDS not undergoing
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        risk IPSS scores, the WHO histologic classification scheme signifi-  transplantation.  The consideration of comorbidity before HSCT
        cantly differentiated survival among the different histologic subtypes   is even more relevant now that RIC has been shown to be effective
                           67
        within  each  IPSS  range.   More  importantly,  the  authors  demon-  in the treatment of MDS, and patients can elect to undergo RIC
        strated a significant effect on survival based on the requirement for   transplantation. Patients were divided into four separate groups, with
        transfusion  support.  As  would  be  expected,  outcomes  in  patients   each group being defined on the basis of comorbidity and malignant
        with  higher-grade  myelodysplasia  were  affected  less  by  transfusion   disease  risk.  Within  each  of  the  four  risk  groups,  patients  who
        requirement than were patients with less-advanced WHO histologic   underwent  MAC  and  RIC  were  compared  with  each  other.  As
        classifications.  As  a  result,  the  impact  of  transfusion  requirement   expected in each of the four groups, the RIC arm experienced higher
        was  then  incorporated  into  the  WHO  Prognostic  Scoring  System   relapse rates but lower treatment-related mortality rates when com-
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        (WPSS).  In this system, the effect of regular transfusion require-  pared with the MAC arm. As a result, disease-free and overall survival
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        ment (defined as requiring at least one transfusion every 8 weeks in   was similar between conditioning arms in all four groups.  More
        a 4-month period) was given the same regression weight as progress-  recently, an enhanced index that incorporates both age and clinical
        ing between cytogenetic risk groups. In contrast to the initial IPSS   comorbidity was developed and demonstrated even more prognostic
        publication, which carries prognostic information only at the time   power than either of the components alone. In this scoring system
        of initial MDS diagnosis, this model was time dependent, such that   those with the highest age-adjusted comorbidity scores have nonre-
        patients could be continually reevaluated by the scoring model and   lapse mortality that might exceed 50% at 5 years, with concomitant
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        updated prognostic information could be generated at any time in   survival that is less than 20%.  Transplantation for this group of
        the  patient’s  treatment  course.  As  such,  the  development  of  new   individuals should be seriously considered outside the spectrum of
        cytogenetic changes or the development of a transfusion need adds   routine practice.
        useful information that helps guide treatment decisions, including   The effects of elevated ferritin levels on HSCT until recently have
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        the decision to proceed to HSCT as well as estimating transplanta-  been largely limited to patients undergoing MAC transplantation.
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        tion outcomes.  Determining at which WPSS stage transplantation   We  previously  reported  that  an  elevated  pre-HSCT  serum  ferritin
        outcomes are superior to nontransplantation therapy has yet to be   level  was  strongly  associated  with  lower  overall  and  disease-free
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