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                                                                             chapter 10 | Quality and Safety 145           CikguOnline
                 6. Single-Payer/National Health Coverage.   demand from employers, and the new graduate
                   A single-payer system aims to decrease the cost  pipeline for RNs.
                   of care by eliminating third-party insurers,
                   costly overhead, and bureaucracy while provid-  ■ Supply of existing RNs. The total supply of
                   ing coverage for all. Plans may offer choices to   U.S. RNs is estimated at 2.9 million and is pro-
                   consumers regarding providers, hospitals, and  jected to remain the same though 2020. The
                   specialty services, and physicians and hospitals  supply of active RNs, including those who are
                   are paid through negotiates, fee-for-service, or  licensed, working, or seeking employment as an
                   salary. Costs are controlled through budgeting,  RN, is projected be 2.1–2.3 million from 2000
                   bulk purchasing, and negotiation (Physicians  to 2020 (U.S. Department of Health and
                   for a National Health Plan, 2008).         Human Services [HRSA], 2006).
                                                             ■ New graduate supply pipeline. Nursing program
                 Proponents of a single-payer system cite lower costs  graduation and NCLEX-RN pass rates affect
                 per capita while ensuring access to care for all  supply. The American Association of Colleges of
                 Americans. Opponents cite that the possible trade-  Nursing (AACN) reported an increase in bac-
                 off for decreased cost and improved access leads to  calaureate level–entry enrollments, up by 5.4% in
                 increased mortality, poorer outcomes of care, limited  2006 (AACN, 2008). According to the National
                 to no-cost savings, and loss of control by consumers  Council of State Boards of Nursing (2008), first-
                 (National Center for Policy Analysis, 2008).  time candidates for nursing licensure in 2007
                   The intended effects of regulation and competi-  numbered 200,209, with a pass rate of 69.4%.
                 tion are to decrease cost. Despite the variety of  However, HRSA (2006) projected that U.S.
                 attempts over the years to drive down costs, they  nursing programs must graduate 90% more nurs-
                 continue to go up, imposing a heavy burden on  es to meet the U.S. demands for nurses (p. 2).
                 consumers or employers (Center for Studying  ■ Demand from employers. The Bureau of Labor
                 Health System Change, 2008). However, improved  Statistics predicts the RN job to be among the
                 quality and safety prevent unnecessary deaths and  top 10 in growth rate (U.S. Department of
                 errors that contribute to the high cost of care  Labor, 2008). Total job openings for RNs will
                 (IOM, 2000; IOM 2003a). The U.S. government,  exceed 1.1.million, including new job growth
                 consumers, providers, and organizations have a  and replacement of retiring nurses.
                 vested interest in controlling health-care expendi-
                 tures and in preventing waste while maintaining  In a survey of over 5000 community hospitals, the
                 quality care.                               American Hospital Association (2007) reported
                                                             116,000 RN vacancies as of December 2006. The
                 Nursing Labor Market                        effects of these vacancies contribute to decreased
                                                             employee and patient satisfaction and increased hiring
                 RNs comprise 77% of the nurse workforce, and  of foreign-educated nurses. The majority of urban
                 almost 60% of RNs are employed by hospitals.The  hospital emergency departments reported capacity
                 nationwide unemployment rate for RNs is only 1%.  issues and spend time on by-pass or diversion due to
                 Vacancy rates nationwide are reported at anywhere  a lack of properly staffed critical care beds.
                 from 13% to 20% and are rising. A serious nursing  In 2002 more than 100,000 new RNs were
                 shortage is here, and it will continue until at least  hired; the majority were foreign-born nurses and
                 2020. The demand for nurses is expected to  nurses over age 50 returning to the workforce in
                 increase even more dramatically as the baby  tough economic times. Although the new hires and
                 boomers reach their 60s, 70s, and beyond. From  a sharp increase in RN salaries are positive, the cur-
                 now until 2030, the population age 65 years and  rent nursing shortage is far from over.
                 older will double.
                                                             Factors Contributing to the Nursing Shortage
                 Defining and Identifying the Nursing Shortage
                                                             Many complex factors have led to and continue to
                 The nursing shortage is defined simply as a supply-  contribute to the current critical nursing shortage:
                 demand issue. Unfortunately, the current nursing
                 shortage is more complex and severe than previous  ■ High acuity, increasing age of patients in
                 shortages in terms of the available supply, the  hospitals. Medically complex patients require
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