Page 73 - Forbes - India (January 2020)
P. 73

equbot




                                                                               they power the computer centres
           The world’s fastest computer                                        that Amazon rents out to EquBot
           No computer exhibits artificial                                     and other AI  researchers.
           intelligence unless it can think                                       Last year EquBot’s software
           quickly. Here’s a time line of the                                  picked up a buzz around Amarin
           fastest—the earliest of which                                       Corp, an Irish drug company with a
           would have been smoked by
           any smartphone—with speeds                                          prescription-only diet supplement
           measured in billions of floating                                    that uses omega-3 fatty acids. The
           point operations per second.                                        international ETF got in below $3,
                                                                               well before the regulatory nod that
              1964       1974       1985       1996                  2018      sent the stock to $15. Another move
             CDC 6600    Star-100    Cray 2    Hitachi SR2201   iPhone 11 Pro    IBM Summit    involved adding Visa to the domestic
            Control Data   Control Data    Cray    Hitachi    Apple    IBM
               (US)      (US)       (US)      (Japan)      (US)       (US)     fund after the system measured
            0.003 GFLOP  0.1 GFLOP  0.9 GFLOP  600 GFLOP  600 GFLOP  149M GFLOP  ripples leading from announcements
                                                                               of chain-store closings toward
             Put that kind of artificial     in Bengaluru, India. The system   higher credit card volume.
           intelligence (AI) to work and it   swallows 1.3 million texts a day:   The computer has its share of
           could do a lot more than win TV   news, blogs, social media, SEC filings.   duds. It fell in love with NetApp
           game shows. It might function     IBM’s Watson system digests the   and New Relic, perhaps reacting
           as a physician’s assistant, as    language, picking up facts to feed into   to a flurry of excitement in cloud
           a recommender of products         a knowledge graph of a million nodes.  computing. The stocks sank. Not
           to consumers or as a detector        Each of those dots to be connected   to worry, says Khatua. Neural
           of credit card fraud. Maybe it    could be a company (one of 15,000), a   networks learn from mistakes.
           could manage portfolios.          keyword (like “FDA”) or an economic   It’s too early to say whether
             Khatua, now 44, enlisted two    factor (like the price of oil). There   EquBot, which manages only $120
           B-school classmates in his venture.   are a trillion potential arrows to link   million, will succeed. So far its US   73
           Arthur Amador, 35, had spent much   them. After trial and error inside a   fund has lagged behind the S&P
           of his career at Fidelity Investments   neural network, which mimics the   500 by an annualised 3 percentage
           advising wealthy families.        neuronal connections in a brain, the   points, while the international one is
           Christopher Natividad, 37, was a   computer weights the few arrows   running 6 points ahead of its index.
           money manager for corporations.   that matter. Thus does the system    EquBot, which says its funds are
             They didn’t have any illusions that   grope its way toward knowing which   the only actively managed ETFs using
           a computer would have understanding   ripples in input data are felt a week, a   AI, won’t have this turf to itself for
           the way humans do. But it could have   month or a year later, in stock prices.  long. IBM is selling AI up and down
           knowledge. It could glean facts—a    On a busy day EquBot is doing   Wall Street. Donna Dillenberger,
           mountain of them—and search for   half a quadrillion calculations. Thank   an IBM scientist in Yorktown
           patterns and trends in the securities   goodness for Nvidia’s graphics   Heights, New York, is working on
           markets. Perhaps it could make up in   chips. These slivers of silicon were   a stock market model with millions
           brute force what it lacked in intuition.  designed to keep gamers happy   of nodes, and she says billion-node
             The trio chipped in savings of   by simultaneously processing     systems are around the corner.
           their own and $735,000 from angel   different pieces of a moving image.   An equally large threat comes from
           investors to create EquBot, advisor to   They turned out to be ideal for the   those human analysts Khatua is trying
           exchange-traded funds. IBM, eager   intensely parallel computational   to put out of work. They can track
           to showcase its AI offerings, gave   streams of neural networks, and   drug trials or notice that Amazon
           the entrepreneurs a $120,000 credit                                 doesn’t take cash. What EquBot
           toward software and hardware bills.                                 has in its favour is the explosion
             Two years ago EquBot opened                                       in digitised data and a comparable
           up AI Powered Equity ETF, with a   On a busy day                    growth in chip power. Humans can’t
           portfolio updated daily on instruction   EquBot is doing            keep up with all the connections.
           from computers. In 2018 it added   half a quadrillion                  “Ninety percent of the data in
           AI Powered International Equity.                                    existence was created in the past two
             Chief Executive Khatua presides   calculations                    years,” says Art Amador, EquBot’s
           over a tiny staff in San Francisco and                              chief operating officer. “In two
           17 programmers and statisticians                                    years that will still be true.”



                                                                                        january 31, 2020 • forBEs india
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