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Indonesia is where the supply growth is…






                       Estimated and projected Indonesian nickel production                      Annual changes in Indonesian nickel supply
           1600                                                        50%

           1400                                                      126  45%        275          225  219          260
                                                                                     225
                                                                   110  40%                                                166
           1200                                                55  85  35%           175   138                                   120   118    145
          '000t finished nickel equivalent  800          313  20  1006  1091  1205  30% Indonesian share of world supply %  '000t Ni  -25
                                                                                     125
           1000
                                                                                      75
                                                                       25%
                                                                                      25
                                                                       20%
            600
                                                                                     -75
            400                             672       191  568  800  926  15%        -125                     -97
                                        385  451    47   360           10%
            200                92  105  169         181  261           5%            -175
                 17  28  33  30  37  42  49  100  1  2  44  3  28  0  90             -225
             0                                                         0%
                 2000  2001  2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  2020F  2021F  2022F  2023F  2024F  2025F  -275
                                                                                     -325
                        PT Vale              Aneka Tambang                                2017   2018  2019  2020F  2021F  2022F  2023F  2024F  2025F
                        All                  HPAL
                        Ore exports          Share of world primary supply                      Matte    FeNi   NPI    HPAL    Ore    Total

                Source: Industry statistics, SMM, Antaike, , Macquarie Commodities Strategy, October 2020
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