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                      Politics of Reform and the Triumph of


                     Pakatan Harapan: Continuity in Change




                                        Johan Saravanamuttu







                   is chapter argues that progressive steps along a path valorised by institutional,
                  ideological, and programmatic developments will lead to increasing returns on
                  that path. Speci cally, it posits that the outcome of the 14th general election
                  in Malaysia (GE14) was on such a path. A path-dependence approach serves
                  to illuminate trajectories of electoral successes and also explains how electoral
                  successes are continued and enhanced. Such an approach draws from the
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                  seminal work of Paul Pierson (2000, 2004)  who adapted notions used in
                  economics and business studies to the analysis of politics. Path-dependence
                  theorizing puts the accent on the potential for progressive institutional change
                  in contrast to a broad genre of work that stresses the authoritarian stability
                  and resilience (Slater 2010) of ‘semi-democracies’ like Malaysia (Case 1993).
                  In my own earlier work, I have tried to show the relevance of path dependence
                  in framing a trajectory of democratization in Malaysian electoral politics
                  (Saravanamuttu 2012 and 2016: 12–13).  e present essay on the outcome
                  of GE14 draws on this previous work, which argued that such a process was
                  path-dependent and largely substantiated by a new politics of reform that has
                  driven electoral change and transition since the late 1990s.
                     An important notion of path-dependence theory is ‘ rst-mover advantage’
                  (FMA), normally used in business studies to refer to the technological
                  advantage of a pioneering  rm or a new entrant in a  eld of enterprise.
                  Coupled with FMA is the notion of ‘increasing returns’, which, in brief,
                  refers to the probability that further steps along a particular path tend to
                  lead to increases down that path (Pierson 2000). Both concepts are central



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