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Chapter 2
               Geo-Strategic Shifts in the South China Sea








               Introduction


                S         outh China Sea possesses             are required to be reinforced with viable



                          numerous natural resources
                                                               security and political strategies by the
                          like oil, gas and hosts of other

               minerals. It also acts as the sea line of       ASEAN nations. Without this effort, South
                                                               China Sea is likely to become a playground
      Implications to ASEAN
               communications for thousands of cargo           for conflicts and instability between the
                                                                                    10
               vessels, which makes it the main trade          interested parties.  The likely major
               route between the littoral ASEAN member         players in such a developing scenario

               states. Geostrategic realities thus make        would  be  an  assertive  China  and  a

               South China Sea the main gateway to             re-assertive United States in the region.
               South East Asia. Consequently, South            This is likely to have a marked effect on

               China Sea and its mineral resources             the overall geo-strategy of ASEAN region.
         Evolving Geo-Strategic Matrix in South China Sea:


      08       China’s Influence in the South China Sea






                     China was viewed as a threat to its       has softened territorial disputes and
               Southeast Asian neighbors in the 1990s,         increased trade relationships with
               partly due to its disputing territorial claims     Southeast Asia. China and the Association

               over the South China Sea. After the             of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN

               financial crisis of 1997/1998, this opinion     includes  Brunei,  Burma,  Cambodia,
               began to change when China avoided              Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines,

               pressure to devalue its currency while          Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam) agreed

               the currencies of its neighbors were            to gradually remove tariffs and create the

               collapsing. China’s “charm offensive”           world’s largest free trade area by 2010. 11





               10   Gudrun Wacker Security Cooperation in East Asia Structures, Trends and Limitations.
               11   The South China Sea Needs ASEAN More Than Ever. https://www. crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/
                  south-china-sea-needs-asean-more-ever.
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