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Chapter 2
               Geo-Strategic Shifts in the South China Sea








                     The evolving situation indicates          Military Force Projections

               a development of clear major power

               confrontation  in  the  region.  South               The  pattern  of  the  U.S.-China

               China Sea has become a hotspot for              geopolitical competition that will unfold       Implications to ASEAN
               the U.S.-China strategy to collide in           in this hotspot will be highly influenced

               the Indian and Pacific regions. U.S.-China      by how the two countries’ military forces

               competition in the region has developed         will operate in terms of a broader regional        Evolving Geo-Strategic Matrix in South China Sea:

               into a differentiated competition under         strategy. China is expected to improve its
               the structural context of China’s challenge     military capabilities in the region centered

               to the U.S.-led regional order and the U.S.     on the Carrier Strike Group. In response, the

               response.                                       U.S. is expected to ensure the superiority

                                                               of the U.S. Pacific Fleet’s combat and
                                                                                            15
                                                               deployment capabilities.  It is also
                                                               expected to improve the force projection

                                                               capability through US Air Force. In             11

                                                               particular, the importance of deploying

                                                               air force for the U.S. military capability
                                                               was highlighted against the backdrop of

                                                               the situation in which the operation of

                                                               the Roosevelt aircraft carrier is restricted
                                                               due to the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic.

                                                               In this context, in April 2020, B-52H

                                                               bombers and B-1B strategic bombers

                                                               launched over the South China Sea on

                                                               two times, demonstrating their military
                                        Source:
                                                                            16
                             www.eia.gov.com                   capabilities.



               15   Ministry of National Defense, “Regular Press Conference of the ministry of National Defense on Apr. 30”
                  (May 4, 2020).
               16    Stars and Stripes, “Air Force bombers fly over South China Sea in latest foray into contested space”
                  (April 30, 2020).
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