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1758  Part XI:  Malignant Lymphoid Diseases                                         Chapter 107:  Myeloma            1759




                  in the loss of previously secreted intact immunoglobulin and a switch   thalidomide.  Finally, circulating proteasome levels are an indepen-
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                  to secretion of light-chains only (“Bence Jones escape”) or entire loss of   dent prognostic factor for survival. 585
                  immunoglobulin-secretory capacity, often associated with extramed-  Many of these factors are interrelated and, therefore, of limited
                  ullary spread, best signified by increased LDH levels and lesions found   independent value. Using multivariate analysis, several groups have
                  on PET-CT examination. Occasionally, unexplained anemia or pan-  found that the best combination of variables to predict outcome was
                  cytopenia accompanies the disappearance of myeloma protein mark-  serum β M, reflecting both the tumor burden and the renal function;
                                                                              2
                  ers, necessitating  prompt  marrow  examination  to  detect  fulminant    and the proliferative activity of plasma cells, evaluated by the LI or num-
                  relapse.                                              ber of tumor cells in S-phase. Age and performance status also improves
                     Many induction regimens currently affect tumor cytoreduction   the prognostic assessment. 586,587
                  rapidly, so that monoclonal immunoglobulin reduction of 50 percent or   Cytogenetic findings associated with poor outcome include hypo-
                  more is apparent within a few months of therapy. Thus, at least monthly   diploidy and deletion 17p13, the locus of the tumor-suppressor gene
                  myeloma protein evaluations should be performed during induction.   TP53. 308,309,372,588  Gains of chromosome 1q arm and loss of 1p occur in
                  After two to four induction cycles and prior to high-dose melpha-  tandem duplications and jumping translocations of chromosome 1, and
                  lan-based auto-HSCT, the disease is restaged, to include marrow exami-  signify more aggressive and more advanced myeloma. 59,589–591  Combin-
                  nation with cytogenetics and MRI and/or PET-CT of indicator lesions   ing hypodiploidy and high β M has also been used to identify patient
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                  in order to assess whether intramedullary or EMD has been reduced.   populations with a poor outcome. 588,592  In contrast, hyperdiploidy, which
                  Disease monitoring should be performed at least every month for the   accounts for almost half of the patients with abnormal cytogenetics and
                  first year and at a minimum every other month thereafter. Marrow   involves nonrandom gains of chromosomes 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 15, 19, and
                  biopsy, including cytogenetic examinations, should be performed at the   21, is associated with chemosensitive disease and better OS. Translo-
                  time of progression or change in therapy. Imaging should be performed   cation t(11;14) also confers a better outcome.  Chromosome 13 dele-
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                  annually or in the presence of new symptoms.          tions are present in more than 50 percent of patients with myeloma and
                                                                        are associated with poor prognosis; however, these deletions are also
                  PROGNOSIS                                             associated with MG, 83,89,307  and their role in transformation to myeloma
                                                                        is undefined at present. Chromosome 13 deletion is not prognostic for
                  The prognosis of myeloma is determined by three factors: (1) the host,   response to bortezomib, highlighting the importance of prognostic fac-
                  (2) tumor biology and disease burden, and (3) the type of therapy   tors for particular therapies. 593
                  applied. Host parameters, such as comorbidities, advanced age, frailty,   Interphase FISH does not depend on cycling cells and increases
                  and poor performance status, negatively impact overall outcome and   the detection of abnormal cells to 80 to 90 percent.  Interphase FISH
                                                                                                              594
                  increase treatment-related morbidity and mortality. With the advent of   can also detect cytogenetically silent translocations, for example, t(4;14),
                  new drugs, used in combination or incorporated into high-dose mel-  t(14;16), and t(14;20), and can be performed on stored material. The
                  phalan-based auto-HSCT approaches, some poor prognostic factors   above data suggest that analysis of metaphase cytogenetic abnormalities
                  can be overcome (see “Management of Newly Diagnosed Myeloma”   and FISH can identify patients who do not do well with auto-HSCT or
                  above).                                               standard therapies. Individual prognostication remains highly variable
                     Advances in cytogenetics, gene-expression profiling, and imaging   despite the application of these more sophisticated cytogenetic tech-
                  (MRI and PET-CT) have greatly increased our understanding of tumor   niques. The Total Therapy 2 patient data set revealed that standard prog-
                  biology and burden. Furthermore, such variables are more powerful   nostic variables and metaphase cytogenetic had limited ability to account
                  prognostic indicators than standard prognostic variables.  for outcome variability with hazard ratios not exceeding 2.0. 64,595,596
                     Numerous  individual parameters  have  been  examined  for  their   Gene-expression profiling on newly diagnosed patients has
                  value as prognostic features. Higher  labeling indices,  serum  IL-6   allowed for the interpretation of outcome in the context of whole
                  receptor levels, increased RAS mutations, more aggressive disease, and   human genomic data. Gene-expression profiling not only has the ability
                  shortened survival has been reported in patients with plasmablastic   to define disease pathogenesis, but also to identify both novel prognos-
                  morphology.  Serum β M represents the light chain of the MHC com-  tic factors and potential therapeutic targets. 597,598  Using tumor cells from
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                  plex of the cell membrane. Increased serum β M results from secretion   532 newly diagnosed patients, Shaughnessy and colleagues defined a
                                                   2
                  by tumors with a high growth fraction and rapid cell turnover rates. In   70-gene model and a 17-gene subset that have the ability to identify high-
                  patients with myeloma and normal renal function, rising serum β M   risk disease.  In a study by the IFM, gene-expression profiles were gen-
                                                                                 599
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                  predicts for progression.  The labeling index (LI), a measure of DNA   erated for 250 newly diagnosed patients. The 15 most stable genes were
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                  synthesis by myeloma cells, predicts for survival. It is usually low (<1   used to construct a survival model. The 15-gene model demonstrated
                  percent) at diagnosis, higher at relapse, and lower in MG and indolent   an improved ability to predict survival in newly diagnosed patients with
                  myeloma. 576                                          myeloma treated with high-dose therapy. Specifically, this work demon-
                     Serum IL-6 levels appear to correlate both with stage of disease   strated that high-risk patients have a 6.8-fold hazard ratio (95 percent
                  and survival. 577,578  IL-6 stimulates hepatocytes to produce acute phase   confidence interval, 3.92 to 11.73; P <0.001) of death compared with
                  proteins, such as C-reactive protein (CRP); CRP, therefore, may reflect   low-risk patients. IFM 15-gene and University of Arkansas for Medical
                  the IL-6 level and proliferative status of marrow plasma cells. Indeed,   Sciences (UAMS) 17-gene models, when applied to their respective data
                  CRP levels are significantly lower in patients with MG than in those   sets, are powerful prognostic tools that can enhance the ISS for the iden-
                  with MM, and survival can be correlated with serum CRP level.  High   tification of high-risk disease. The HOVON group developed a 92 gene
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                  serum levels of soluble IL-6 receptor (sIL-6R), hepatocyte growth fac-  signature which predicts for differential outcome.  These gene signa-
                                                                                                            600
                  tor,  and syndecan-1,  as well as low serum levels of hyaluronate,    tures are, however, not yet generalizable, as they have not been studied
                    580
                                  581
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                  are independent prognostic factors predicting poor outcome.  prospectively. Moreover, an analysis of signatures defined in Arkansas,
                     The percentage of circulating plasma cells in the blood and their   IFM, Millennium, and HOVON studies shows that these signatures are
                  labeling indices are independent prognostic factors for survival in mye-  not broadly useful in myeloma. 129
                  loma after both conventional and high-dose therapy. 294,583  Circulating   These gene-expression profiling studies also identify mechanisms
                  endothelial cells also correlate with disease course and response to   of sensitivity versus resistance to conventional and novel myeloma



          Kaushansky_chapter 107_p1733-1772.indd   1759                                                                 9/21/15   12:35 PM
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