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Figure 7 – Flow Up the Annulus and Through Production Casing Crossover Joint

                          After cementing the production casing, the Deepwater Horizon crew
                   conducted a successful 2,500 psi positive casing test against the top wiper plug.
                                                                                                       159
                   Although this pressure test (250 psi low/2,500 psi high) did not confirm a seal
                   below the top wiper plug at the top of the float collar, it did provide evidence
                   that the 9‐7/8 x 7 inch production casing and related components that comprise
                   this string above the top wiper plug were most likely leak‐free.

                          Like Scenario 1, Scenario 2 posits that hydrocarbons flowed through the
                   annulus.  Forensic evidence gathered during well intervention efforts casts
                   substantial doubt on this theory.  As discussed above, the Panel found no
                   evidence of erosion of the hanger and seat assembly.  Had hydrocarbons flowed
                   along this path, erosion effects likely would have been visible.  In addition, as
                   mentioned above, logging data show that free gas was not present in the annulus
                   below the BOP.

                          For all of these reasons, the Panel does not believe that Scenario 2
                   represents a likely explanation for the flow path of hydrocarbons during the
                   blowout.



                   159  Smith Report at 8.


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