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Scenario 3: Production Casing Shoe Track

                          Under this scenario, hydrocarbons would have flowed from the reservoir
                   through the casing shoe, into the well and up the riser to the rig.  For this flow
                   path to have occurred, the shoe track cement would have failed.  A number of
                   factors could have caused the shoe track cement to fail.  First, mud in the
                   wellbore could have contaminated the shoe track cement and caused the cement
                   not to set properly.  Second, the shoe track cement might have swapped out with
                   the lighter drilling fluid in the rat hole.  Third, some of the shoe track cement
                   could have been lost into the formation.  Finally, the failure of the shoe track
                   could have resulted from a combination of these factors.  This scenario is
                   represented in Figure 8 below.

































                                  Figure 8 – Flow up the Production Casing Shoe Track

                          The approximately 189 foot bottom section of the casing in the well, called
                   the shoe track, consisted of sections of casing with a reamer‐guide shoe at the
                   bottom and a dual flapper float collar on top.  These sections of casing that make
                   up the shoe track are meant to contain the top, or tail cement, which in the
                   Macondo well was unfoamed cement.






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