Page 104 - 2018 Comprehensive Annual Financial Report - City of Winston-Salem
P. 104

Changes in Actuarial Assumptions. The following assumption changes were made since the prior valuation:
                      1.  Update of mortality table from 2017 Table to RP 2000 Table.

                      2.  Salary increases updated.
                      3.  Actuarial experience study completed.
                      The long-term expected rate of return on pension plan investments was determined using a building-block method in
                      which best-estimates of expected future real rates of return (expected returns, net of pension plan investment expense
                      and in ation) are developed for each asset class. These ranges are combined to produce the long-term expected rate of
                      return by weighting the expected future real rates of return by the target asset allocation percentage and by adding
                      expected in ation. This is then modi ed through a Monte-Carlo simulation process, by which a (downward) risk adjustment
                      is applied to the baseline expected return.
                      Best estimates of real rates of return for each major asset class included in the pension plan’s target asset allocation as of
                      June 30, 2018, and the  nal investment return assumption, are summarized in the following table:

                                                                                                          Long-Term
                                                                                             Target      Expected Real
                       Asset Class                                                          Allocation   Rate of Return
                       Equity Funds                                                            69%            5.71%
                       Fixed Income Funds                                                      30             2.81
                       Cash                                                                    1               .75
                             Total Weighted Average Real Return                               100%            4.79%
                       Plus in ation                                                                          3.00
                       Total return w/o adjustment                                                            7.79
                       Risk adjustment                                                                       (0.54)
                             Total Expected Return                                                            7.25%


                      Discount Rate. The discount rate used to measure the total pension liability was 7.25%. The projection of cash  ows used
                      to determine the discount rate assumed that plan member contributions will be made at the current contribution rate
                      and that City contributions will be made at rates equal to the di erence between actuarially determined contribution
                      rates and the member rate.
                      Based on those assumptions, the pension plan’s  duciary net position was projected to be available to make all projected
                      future bene ts payments of current plan members.
                      Therefore, the long-term expected rates of return on pension plan investments was applied to all periods of projected
                      bene t payments to determine the total pension liability.



































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