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MAPPING PATHS TO PROSPERITY  |  39




















                    table 4.1.1 shows the results of this procedure using two consecutive six year
                  periods. table 4.1.2 shows the same procedure using one twelve year period
                  (1996-2008). Figure 4.1 of the main text, illustrates the differences in r  be-
                                                                        2
                  tween the regression using all variables and those where individual variables
                  were removed.

                   TA B L E   4 . 1 . 2

                                                                            Annualized growth in GDP pc (12 years)
                                                                                        1996-2008

                   VARIABLES                       (1)      (2)       (3)       (4)       (5)       (6)       (7)       (8)       (9)
                   Income per capita, logs      -0.00202***  -0.00127***  -0.00199***  -0.00213***  -0.00203***  -0.00196***  -0.00207***  -0.00201***  -0.00202***
                                                 (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)

                   Increase in natural resource exports   0.00228***  0.00255***  0.00226***  0.00233***  0.00228***  0.00227***  0.00233***  0.00232***  0.00235***
                   - in constant dollars (as a share of initial GDP)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)  (0.000)
                   Initial NR exports to GDP    0.00361***  0.00314**  0.00357***  0.00367***  0.00342***  0.00367***  0.00383***  0.00361***  0.00369***
                                                 (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)

                   Initial Economic Complexity Index [ECI]  0.00380**  0.00371***  0.00436***  0.00405**  0.00415***  0.00364**  0.00392**  0.00467***
                                                 (0.002)             (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.002)   (0.002)   (0.001)   (0.002)   (0.001)
                   [ECI] x [GDP per capita, log]  -0.00017           -0.00015  -0.00026  -0.00020  -0.00020  -0.00014  -0.00019  -0.00026**

                                                 (0.000)             (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)
                   Initial Control of Corruption  0.00004  -0.00079            -0.00027  0.00001   0.00029   0.00005  -0.00003
                                                 (0.001)   (0.001)             (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)
                   Initial Government Effectiveness  -0.00097  -0.00040  -0.00117       -0.00080  -0.00069   -0.00107  -0.00087
                                                 (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)             (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)

                   Initial Political Stability   0.00065*  0.00079*  0.00054   0.00057*           0.00078**  0.00069*  0.00059*
                                                 (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)             (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)
                   Initial Rule of Law           0.00103  0.00237***  0.00121*  0.00073  0.00135*            0.00087   0.00094

                                                 (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)             (0.001)   (0.001)
                   Initial Regulatory Quality    -0.00040  -0.00125*  -0.00036  -0.00051  -0.00051  -0.00024          -0.00053
                                                 (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)   (0.001)             (0.001)
                   Initial Voice and Accountability  -0.00030  -0.00014  -0.00028  -0.00019  -0.00016  -0.00021  -0.00042

                                                 (0.000)   (0.001)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)   (0.000)
                   Constant                     0.01960***  0.01384***  0.01936***  0.02052***  0.01963***  0.01918***  0.01993***  0.01961***  0.01954***
                                                 (0.003)   (0.003)   (0.003)   (0.002)   (0.003)   (0.003)   (0.003)   (0.003)   (0.002)

                   Observations                    118       118       118       118      118       118       118       118       118
                   Adjusted R   2                 0.516     0.365     0.516     0.514     0.510     0.513     0.518    0.519     0.506
                   Difference in R   2                      15.1%     0.0%      0.2%      0.6%      0.3%      0.2%      0.3%      1.0%
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