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CHAPTER 13: Assessment of Severity of Illness   83


                   associated with subsequent improvement in patient outcomes.  In addi-  CHAPTER  Assessment of Severity
                                                                49
                    tion, the majority of studies showing effectiveness of the service have
                    included a doctor as the team leader, suggesting that the composition of   of Illness
                    the team may also impact patient outcomes.              13
                                                                                      James A. Russell
                    CONCLUSIONS
                   Despite the best efforts of health care staff and advances in medicine,
                   patients admitted to modern hospitals suffer SAEs in up to 20% of   KEY POINTS
                   admissions. Such events are preceded by signs of instability that manifest     •  In the last four decades, intensive care units (ICUs) and critical
                   as measurable derangements in the patients’ vital signs, sometimes for   care researchers have amassed a great body of pathophysiologic
                                  https://kat.cr/user/tahir99/
                   several hours prior to the development of the event. The RRS approach   and clinical knowledge that has advanced the care of critically ill
                   involves staff activating the RRT when a ward patient fulfills predefined   patients. Severity of illness scoring systems are tools that have been
                   criteria of instability. In sites where there has been acceptance and   designed to both predict and evaluate, from multiple perspectives,
                   uptake of the RRS, there has been an associated reduction in cardiac   the outcomes of critically ill patients.
                   arrests, and in some cases unplanned ICU admissions and in-hospital
                   mortality. It is likely that increasing the dose (calls/1000 admissions) of     •  Most scoring systems evolved from multivariate regression analysis
                                                                            applied to large clinical databases of discovery cohorts to identify
                   RRT calls is likely to influence patient outcomes.
                                                                            the most relevant factors for prediction of mortality. Scoring sys-
                                                                            tems are then validated by prospective application to independent
                                                                            validation cohorts.
                     KEY REFERENCES                                           •  The ideal components of a scoring system are data collected during
                        • Baker GR, Norton PG, Flintoft V, et al. The Canadian Adverse   the course of routine patient management that are easily measured
                       Events  Study: the incidence of adverse events  among hospital   in most or all patients, inexpensive, objective, and reproducible.
                       patients in Canada. CMAJ. 2004;170(11):1678-1686.      •  The most widely applied scoring systems in adults are the
                        • Bellomo R, Goldsmith D, Uchino S, et al. A prospective before-  Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE), the
                       and-after trial of a medical emergency team.  Med J Aust.   Mortality Probability Models (MPM), Simplified Acute Physiology
                       2003;179(6):283-287.                                 Score (SAPS), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA).
                        • Buist M, Bernard S, Nguyen TV, Moore G, Anderson J. Association     •  The uses of severity-of-illness scoring systems for cohorts of
                       between clinically abnormal observations and subsequent in-hospital   patients include clinical investigation (to compare study groups
                       mortality: a prospective study. Resuscitation. 2004;62(2):137-141.  usually at baseline but sometimes over the course of ICU care),
                        • Buist M, Harrison J, Abaloz E, Van Dyke S. Six year audit of cardiac   ICU administration (to guide resource allocation and budget), and
                                                                            assessment of  ICU performance  (to compare performance  over
                       arrests and medical emergency team calls in an Australian outer   time or between health care settings).
                       metropolitan teaching hospital. BMJ. 2007;335(7631):1210-1212.
                        • Buist MD, Moore GE, Bernard SA, Waxman BP, Anderson JN,     •  The use of scores to guide decisions about delivery of care to indi-
                                                                            vidual patients is controversial; in some studies the accuracy of
                       Nguyen TV. Effects of a medical emergency team on reduction   prediction of outcomes of scoring systems is not greater than that
                       of incidence of and mortality from unexpected cardiac arrests in   of the individual clinician’s judgment.
                       hospital: preliminary study. BMJ. 2002;324(7334):387-390.
                        • Downar J, Barua R, Rodin D, et al. Changes in end of life care
                       5 years after the introduction of a rapid response team: a multi-
                       centre retrospective study. Resuscitation. 2013;84(10):1339-1344.  Severity-of-illness scoring systems were developed to evaluate the
                        • Downey AW, Quach JL, Haase M, Haase-Fielitz A, Jones D,   delivery of care and predict outcome of groups of critically ill patients
                       Bellomo R. Characteristics and outcomes of patients receiving a   admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). The purpose of this chapter
                       medical emergency team  review for  acute change in  conscious   is to review the scientific basis for these scoring systems and to make
                       state or arrhythmias. Crit Care Med. 2008;36(2):477-481.  recommendations for their use. While there is a growing recognition
                        • DeVita MA, Smith GB, Adam SK, et al. “Identifying the hospi-  that when properly administered, these tools are useful in assessing and
                       talised patient in crisis”—a consensus conference on the afferent   comparing patient populations with diverse critical illnesses, their use
                       limb of rapid response systems. Resuscitation. 2010;81(4):375-382.  for predicting  individual  patient  outcome remains  controversial and
                        • Hillman K, Chen J, Cretikos M, et al. Introduction of the medical   unresolved.
                       emergency team (MET) system: a cluster-randomised controlled     • Novel propensity scoring systems and case:control matching strat-
                       trial. Lancet. 2005;365(9477):2091-2097.             egies have also been developed and are now commonly used to
                        • Niven DJ, Bastos JF, Stelfox HT. Critical care transition pro-  simulate clinical trials to assess efficacy and safety of therapeutics in
                       grams and the risk of readmission or death after discharge from   critical care.
                       an ICU: a systematic review and meta-analysis.  Crit Care Med.
                       2014;42(1):179-87.                                 PURPOSES OF SCORING SYSTEMS
                        • Peberdy MA, Ornato JP, Larkin GL, et al. Survival from in-  There  are  six  major  purposes  of  severity-of-illness  scoring  systems
                       hospital cardiac arrest during nights and weekends.  JAMA.
                       2008;299(7):785-792.                               (Table  13-1).  First,  scoring systems have  been  used in  randomized
                                                                          controlled trials (RCTs) and other clinical investigations to assess bal-
                                                                          ance of treatment and control groups at baseline.  The second purpose
                                                                                                             1-5
                                                                          of  severity-of-illness  scoring  systems  is  to  quantify  severity  of  illness
                    REFERENCES                                            for hospital and health care system administrative decisions such as
                                                                          resource allocation and accreditation. The third purpose of scoring
                    Complete references available online at www.mhprofessional.com/hall  systems is to assess ICU performance  and compare the quality of








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