Page 162 - Applied Statistics with R
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162                   CHAPTER 9. MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION

                                                                          ̂
                                 The derivation of the sampling distribution of    involves the multivariate normal
                                 distribution. These brief notes from semesters past give a basic overview. These
                                 are simply for your information, as we will not present the derivation in full here.
                                                                              ̂
                                 Our goal now is to obtain the distribution of the    vector,
                                                                       ̂
                                                                  ⎡   0 ̂  ⎤
                                                                  ⎢     1 ⎥
                                                                ̂
                                                                 = ⎢     ̂ ⎥
                                                                  ⎢   2  ⎥
                                                                  ⎢ ⋮ ⎥
                                                                     ̂
                                                                  ⎣     −1⎦
                                 Recall from last time that when discussing sampling distributions, we now con-
                                       ̂
                                 sider    to be a random vector, thus we use    instead of the data vector   .

                                                            ̂
                                                                 ⊤
                                                                         ⊤
                                                              = (     ) −1       
                                 Then it is a consequence of the multivariate normal distribution that,
                                                                           −1
                                                          ̂
                                                                       ⊤
                                                                   2
                                                           ∼    (  ,    (     ) ) .
                                 We then have

                                                                   ̂
                                                                E[  ] =   
                                             ̂
                                 and for any    we have
                                               
                                                                  ̂
                                                               E[   ] =    .
                                                                         
                                                                    
                                 We also have

                                                               ̂
                                                                   2
                                                                       ⊤
                                                          Var[  ] =    (     ) −1
                                             ̂
                                 and for any    we have
                                               
                                                                  ̂
                                                                       2
                                                             Var[   ] =           
                                                                   
                                 where

                                                                    ⊤
                                                                = (     ) −1
                                 and the elements of    are denoted
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