Page 165 - Applied Statistics with R
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9.2. SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION                                        165


                      9.2.2   Confidence Intervals

                             ̂
                      Since    is our estimate for    and we have
                               
                                                  
                                                        ̂
                                                    E[   ] =      
                                                         
                      as well as the standard error,


                                                      ̂
                                                 SE[   ] =    √       
                                                        
                                                            
                                                      ̂
                      and the sampling distribution of    is Normal, then we can easily construct
                                                        
                                                       ̂
                      confidence intervals for each of the    .
                                                        
                                                 ̂
                                                  ±      /2,  −    ⋅    √       
                                                  
                                                               
                      We can find these in R using the same method as before. Now there will simply
                      be additional rows for the additional   .

                      confint(mpg_model, level = 0.99)


                      ##                      0.5 %        99.5 %
                      ## (Intercept) -25.052563681 -4.222720208
                      ## wt            -0.007191036 -0.006078716
                      ## year           0.632680051   0.890123859



                      9.2.3   Confidence Intervals for Mean Response

                      As we saw in SLR, we can create confidence intervals for the mean response,
                      that is, an interval estimate for E[   ∣    =   ]. In SLR, the mean of    was only
                      dependent on a single value   . Now, in multiple regression, E[   ∣    =   ] is
                      dependent on the value of each of the predictors, so we define the vector    to
                                                                                        0
                      be,

                                                          1
                                                      ⎡       ⎤
                                                      ⎢   01  ⎥
                                                     =  ⎢     02 ⎥  .
                                                   0
                                                      ⎢   ⋮   ⎥
                                                      ⎣    0(  −1)⎦

                      Then our estimate of E[   ∣    =    ] for a set of values    is given by
                                                                       0
                                                    0
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